Top 8 win-loss records vs themselves

Who is over-ranked? (Vote for more than 1 if you like)


  • Total voters
    68
The current list
* Federer is 13-5
* Djokovic is 7-5
* Nadal is 0-13
* Murray is 4-5
* del Potro is 7-3
* Davydenko is 9-6
* Soderling is 8-10
* Roddick is 4-3


THE FOLLOWING IS NO LONGER TRUE AND IS ARCHIVAL ONLY

  • Federer is 14-5 (74%)
  • Djokovic is 7-6 (54%)
  • Nadal is 1-13 (07%)
  • Murray is 4-5 (44%)
  • del Potro is 7-4 (64%)
  • Davydenko is 9-6 (60%)
  • Soderling is 8-10 (44%)
  • Roddick is 4-4 (50%)

To me this shows:
- Murray and Nadal are rather lucky to be Top 8
- Djokovic is probably worse than his ranking indicates (though the 2 below him are both )
- delPo and Davydenko both have great records they are failing to defend
- After Federer at 19, Soderling is the most consistent player, having met the Top 8 18 times, followed by Davydenko with 15, Nadal with 14, and Djokovic with 13
- Murray has only met the Top 8 9 times, with a (-1) record, has been fortunate to be #4
- Roddick loses early the most (and doesn't play a lot) , but has a decent record vs the Top 8 once he gets there

So the rankings are, by %

1. Federer 74
2. del Potro 64
3. Davydenko 60 (these 2 are probably pretty appropriately ranked , as they have missed a lot)
4. Djokovic 54
5. Roddick 50 (a bit misleading, he has met the top 8 by far the least)
6. Soderling 44
7. Murray 44 (Soderling is ahead because he has both more wins and subsequent losses)
8. Nadal 7

So, what do you think? Why the overrankings? And underrankings?
Who is too high? And too low?
 
Last edited:

CMM

Legend
So, what do you think?

116rvif.jpg
 

vortex1

Banned
Maybe one of the reasons Nadal hasn't managed to beat top player recently is because they are either injured or playing in clown mode so they can't even reach QF/SF/F where they can play against him? Ever thought of that?
 
profound insight, cmm.........
you are the only person to regularly call me a troll, and you do so at least 4 times a day
what do you object to so much? it's factual...
 

Bud

Bionic Poster
profound insight, cmm.........
you are the only person to regularly call me a troll, and you do so at least 4 times a day
what do you object to so much? it's factual...

What are the win/loss records and percent of the current top 10?

Go look that up and post it.

BTW, your silly poll makes zero sense.
 

Andy G

Semi-Pro
What are the win/loss records and percent of the current top 10?

Go look that up and post it.

BTW, your silly poll makes zero sense.


Here is Nadal's 2010 tourney's. He lost to every top 10 player he faced. Doha, lost to #6 Davydenko. AO, lost to #4 Murray. Miami, lost to #8 Roddick. And he lost IW to #26 Lucic. His wins were MC to #12 Verdasco and Rome to #17 Ferrer. Again this is only 2010 not since May 2009.

http://www.atpworldtour.com/Tennis/Players/Top-Players/Rafael-Nadal.aspx?t=pa
 

Andy G

Semi-Pro
I'm pretty sure he beat Tsonga in Miami who was in the top 10 then...

Oops, I was looking for single digits. Must've missed that. Good thing he beat #10, wow you win. Although as a side note the OP posted top 8 not top 10.
 

sh@de

Hall of Fame
Buy a second can for me :)

Dno why you like trolling around like this... is the second can meant to be for yourself? I think it'd be good if you used it on yourself. And you know, I'm not the only one who thinks that...


..........

The stupidity of your post is beyond belief. It's so stupid that I don't even need to explain why. You're probably one of the biggest ****s I've ever come across, aside from Bud...nobody tops Bud. And I mean nobody.
 

Leonidas

Professional
  • Federer is 14-5 (74%)
  • Djokovic is 7-6 (54%)
  • Nadal is 1-13 (07%)
  • Murray is 4-5 (44%)
  • del Potro is 7-4 (64%)
  • Davydenko is 9-6 (60%)
  • Soderling is 8-10 (44%)
  • Roddick is 4-4 (50%)

To me this shows:
- Murray and Nadal are rather lucky to be Top 8
- Djokovic is probably worse than his ranking indicates (though the 2 below him are both )
- delPo and Davydenko both have great records they are failing to defend
- After Federer at 19, Soderling is the most consistent player, having met the Top 8 18 times, followed by Davydenko with 15, Nadal with 14, and Djokovic with 13
- Murray has only met the Top 8 9 times, with a (-1) record, has been fortunate to be #4
- Roddick loses early the most (and doesn't play a lot) , but has a decent record vs the Top 8 once he gets there

So the rankings are, by %

1. Federer 74
2. del Potro 64
3. Davydenko 60 (these 2 are probably pretty appropriately ranked , as they have missed a lot)
4. Djokovic 54
5. Roddick 50 (a bit misleading, he has met the top 8 by far the least)
6. Soderling 44
7. Murray 44 (Soderling is ahead because he has both more wins and subsequent losses)
8. Nadal 7

So, what do you think? Why the overrankings? And underrankings?
Who is too high? And too low?

why don´t you show the w-l record of their careers? This is only the last year or so, right?
 

Augustus

Hall of Fame
because I'm talking about too-high rankings and only the past year counts

DG, seriously, how on earth can you say that Nadal is lucky to be in the top 8, when he's about the only top player that's playing good tennis right now. He's just won the last two tournaments he played, while Federer is playing like crap, Djokovic struggling big time, Murray sucking on clay, Del Potro and Davydenko injured, Roddick on vacation and Soderling doing alright.

Ferrer and Verdasco, two of the best clay courters this year, lost comprehensively to Nadal several times. No miracle Nadal can't get any wins over fellow top 8 players when they don't even get to him.

I assume you're joking though. Don't let your hate for Nadal get the better of you...
 

veroniquem

Bionic Poster
And are you talking 2010 only? Careerwise Rafa has a better record vs other top 10 than any other top player.
 
no, I just mean its nothing special that happens to you, people just like to think in tens. but it goes 2-4-8-16-32 when it comes to meaning something
 

viduka0101

Hall of Fame
let's look at their whole career
1.Federer 71-30 (0.703) 2
2.Djokovic 29-33 (0.468 ) 3
3.Nadal 50-30 (0.625) 1
4.Murray 30-26 (0.536) 2
5.Del Potro 14-22 (0.389) 5
6.Davydenko 21-38 (0.356) 5
7.Soderling 15-31 (0.326) 4
8.Roddick 18-38 (0.321) 5
numbers from left to right are: H2H,winning percentage,number of loosing H2Hs

biggest ownage:
Federer-Soderling 12-0,Federer-Roddick 19-2,Federer-Davydenko 13-2

closest:
Murray-Soderling 2-2(only tie) and several other 5-4 and 4-3
 

netcorder

Banned
let's look at their whole career
1.Federer 71-30 (0.703) 2
2.Djokovic 29-33 (0.468 ) 3
3.Nadal 50-30 (0.625) 1
4.Murray 30-26 (0.536) 2
5.Del Potro 14-22 (0.389) 5
6.Davydenko 21-38 (0.356) 5
7.Soderling 15-31 (0.326) 4
8.Roddick 18-38 (0.321) 5
numbers from left to right are: H2H,winning percentage,number of loosing H2Hs

biggest ownage:
Federer-Soderling 12-0,Federer-Roddick 19-2,Federer-Davydenko 13-2

closest:
Murray-Soderling 2-2(only tie) and several other 5-4 and 4-3

Wow! Nadal is 50-30??? That's terrible.
 

namelessone

Legend
how is that terrible?

It is funny that for all this talk that Nadal is not talented,a rudimentary player and so on,he is only second to Fed on that list and even in the h2h he leads everybody in the top8,10,excluding davydenko(4-5). Yeah,I know some of the h2h's are padded with clay wins but wins are wins in the end.
Also,Nadal has 400 wins in less than 500 ATP matches. Not bad for a guy who,to quote many of the trolls on these boards,"hasn't beaten a top5/top8/top10 guy in months".

Looking at the state of the top10 right now he may not get that chance. Fed has been a no show since AO,Djoker,DelPo,Davydenko are having health issues,Murray is having confidence issues,so basically that only leaves roddick,soderling,verdasco and tsonga.
 

netcorder

Banned
It is funny that for all this talk that Nadal is not talented,a rudimentary player and so on,he is only second to Fed on that list and even in the h2h he leads everybody in the top8,10,excluding davydenko(4-5). Yeah,I know some of the h2h's are padded with clay wins but wins are wins in the end.
Also,Nadal has 400 wins in less than 500 ATP matches. Not bad for a guy who,to quote many of the trolls on these boards,"hasn't beaten a top5/top8/top10 guy in months".

Looking at the state of the top10 right now he may not get that chance. Fed has been a no show since AO,Djoker,DelPo,Davydenko are having health issues,Murray is having confidence issues,so basically that only leaves roddick,soderling,verdasco and tsonga.

Why should it be otherwise? He's been #2 for 6 years now, it's not that surprising his record is what it is. I just presumed it would have been better.
 

namelessone

Legend
Why should it be otherwise? He's been #2 for 6 years now, it's not that surprising his record is what it is. I just presumed it would have been better.

Better how? Fed is 71-30 with 5 years on Nadal and Nadal is 50-30 being 5 years younger. And Nadal is pretty much nr.2 in all those stats,second only to Fed.Maybe you meant better than GOAT?
Now Nadal's record can get worse or better but it's not a fair judgement when the guys aren't the same age. The guys in Nadal's age group aren't faring any better than him that's for sure. What if Fed starts losing to top10 guys in the latter part of his career,would that be a correct judgement for Fed?

Nadal is pretty much unbeatable(relatively speaking) but only on clay and he is a tough cookie on grass. Most of those defeats up there are on HC. He would have a crazy record if the tour was made up of natural surfaces.
 

JeMar

Legend
Maybe one of the reasons Nadal hasn't managed to beat top player recently is because they are either injured or playing in clown mode so they can't even reach QF/SF/F where they can play against him? Ever thought of that?

I find it hilarious that now that Federer and the other top 4 players are in good form that it suddenly doesn't matter who you beat to win your tournaments, whereas the majority of Federer's majors have an asterisk by them because Nadal sucked too much to get into finals of non-clay majors for all those years.




Hilarious.
 
I find it hilarious that now that Federer and the other top 4 players are in good form that it suddenly doesn't matter who you beat to win your tournaments, whereas the majority of Federer's majors have an asterisk by them because Nadal sucked too much to get into finals of non-clay majors for all those years.




Hilarious.

You're the worst type of poster on this site, a hardcore Federer fanatic but you disguise it, unlike the load and proud type TMF.
 

JeMar

Legend
You're the worst type of poster on this site, a hardcore Federer fanatic but you disguise it, unlike the load and proud type TMF.

There's about 3 years' worth of threads to prove my point. I'm just pointing out the hypocrisy of some people here. You're more than welcome to search through them if you don't believe me, but I'm sure you've been here long enough to remember all those threads.

Thanks for the personal attack, by the way, though it hardly matters coming from you.
 

netcorder

Banned
Better how? Fed is 71-30 with 5 years on Nadal and Nadal is 50-30 being 5 years younger. And Nadal is pretty much nr.2 in all those stats,second only to Fed.Maybe you meant better than GOAT?
Now Nadal's record can get worse or better but it's not a fair judgement when the guys aren't the same age. The guys in Nadal's age group aren't faring any better than him that's for sure. What if Fed starts losing to top10 guys in the latter part of his career,would that be a correct judgement for Fed?

Nadal is pretty much unbeatable(relatively speaking) but only on clay and he is a tough cookie on grass. Most of those defeats up there are on HC. He would have a crazy record if the tour was made up of natural surfaces.

He's actually only 4 years back. But so what, the record will just get worse as the up and comers figure out Nadal. It's already happening. What would be his record if the tour was only made up fast hardcourt? Pretty crazy too huh?
 

statto

Professional
This thread is made of fail. I have a career 0/0 record against the top ten so presumably I'm better than Fed given my 100% record?

The argument could be made that records against players outside the top ten are more crucial, as consistency against lower opposition is more important in getting to later stages of tournaments.

You could also make the claim that a person is only as good as their last tournament.

Overall the rankings are perfect, because they don't lie as to the form of a player over the past 12 months. However, it's clear that on current form Fed and Djoker aren't looking like #1 and #2 in the world.
 

Anaconda

Hall of Fame
You're the worst type of poster on this site, a hardcore Federer fanatic but you disguise it, unlike the load and proud type TMF.

Wait! What?

You're the pathetic Nadal fanatic who goes around saying how Nadal is a better grasscourter than Safin is on Hard:roll: It might help you to not call people out by saying they are the worst type of poster for being silent, as far as i'm concerned it's the biased, Nadal trolls like you who are the worst type of poster.
 
This does expose an obvious weakness in the ranking system. Given the advantage of the easier draws from higher seeding, along with the fact that the ranking system gives no credit whatsoever for quality of wins or strength of schedule, it absolutely is easier for an overranked player to maintain their ranking.

After returning from injury last year, Nadal was realistically in marginal top 10 form. At this point, I think he's back to standard #1 on clay, top 5 on everything else form. But even if he had remained in last year's comeback form, with easier draws and his consistency against everyone outside the top 10, it would have been extremely difficult to knock him out of the top 4. In the ranking system, a SF and 1st round loss is worth the same as 2 QF, and with other guys in the top 8 having to face a top 4 player other than Rafa in the QF 75% of the time, that's quite a big pts battle to climb.

I'd like to see a study of two players, one ranked #40 and one ranked #2, but both playing like #10 in the world. Say winning 80% of matches against players outside the top 16, 60% against #9-16, 40% against #5-8, 30% against #3-4 and 20% against #1-2. With the standard draws in 1000s and Grand Slam events, how many pts would #2 be expected to earn vs #40. I think you'd find a disparity of possibility a couple thousand points and would show just how poor the ranking system adapts to a player's current form (even over the course of a full year). In fact I might go ahead and do that study if anyone is interested.
 
N

nikdom

Guest
Just goes to show that Roger has a matchup problem with Nadal because of that lefty forehand. If Nadal were indeed as great, he'd be beating other top 10 players more consistently on more varied surfaces. Nadal has more notoriety because he beats Roger than he has because of his own achievements.
 

himynameisNIKE

Professional
DG, seriously, how on earth can you say that Nadal is lucky to be in the top 8, when he's about the only top player that's playing good tennis right now. He's just won the last two tournaments he played, while Federer is playing like crap, Djokovic struggling big time, Murray sucking on clay, Del Potro and Davydenko injured, Roddick on vacation and Soderling doing alright.

Ferrer and Verdasco, two of the best clay courters this year, lost comprehensively to Nadal several times. No miracle Nadal can't get any wins over fellow top 8 players when they don't even get to him.

I assume you're joking though. Don't let your hate for Nadal get the better of you...

LOL QFFT
pwnage
 

viduka0101

Hall of Fame
Just goes to show that Roger has a matchup problem with Nadal because of that lefty forehand. If Nadal were indeed as great, he'd be beating other top 10 players more consistently on more varied surfaces. Nadal has more notoriety because he beats Roger than he has because of his own achievements.

is there anything rational someone can say to such ridiculous statements
I swear someone could get a headache just by reading something like this a couple of time

congratulations, you've inspired me to start collecting posts like these
this is my first, when I have enough material I'll make a thread to glorify some of the stupidity that pops up on these forums

I think my signature is also ridiculous enough, so that could be no2
also, I don't think it'll take me long to get enough material
 

reversef

Hall of Fame
This does expose an obvious weakness in the ranking system. Given the advantage of the easier draws from higher seeding, along with the fact that the ranking system gives no credit whatsoever for quality of wins or strength of schedule, it absolutely is easier for an overranked player to maintain their ranking.

After returning from injury last year, Nadal was realistically in marginal top 10 form. At this point, I think he's back to standard #1 on clay, top 5 on everything else form. But even if he had remained in last year's comeback form, with easier draws and his consistency against everyone outside the top 10, it would have been extremely difficult to knock him out of the top 4. In the ranking system, a SF and 1st round loss is worth the same as 2 QF, and with other guys in the top 8 having to face a top 4 player other than Rafa in the QF 75% of the time, that's quite a big pts battle to climb.

I'd like to see a study of two players, one ranked #40 and one ranked #2, but both playing like #10 in the world. Say winning 80% of matches against players outside the top 16, 60% against #9-16, 40% against #5-8, 30% against #3-4 and 20% against #1-2. With the standard draws in 1000s and Grand Slam events, how many pts would #2 be expected to earn vs #40. I think you'd find a disparity of possibility a couple thousand points and would show just how poor the ranking system adapts to a player's current form (even over the course of a full year). In fact I might go ahead and do that study if anyone is interested.
You are right. And that's why it's so difficult to reach the top and to stay there. That's why some players do everything they can, even when they are injured, to keep playing. Because they know what it costs to reach the top, they know what it's going to cost if they have to do it again. That's why a champion is a champion: because he can get there and he can stay there. When players like Federer, Nadal, Djokovic and Murray go through a bad moment, if they can stay at the top, it means one thing: they are champions. If some players reach the number 3, 4, 5 and disappear, it's their problem. If some players don't manage to get there, it's their problem too. The public doesn't need to see the flavour of the month becoming a top player. It needs more.
 

Bryan Swartz

Hall of Fame
That's interesting idea, I'll run the numbers on that later if nobody gets to it first. But there is more to it than just v. top 10 players. There is a difference in how much players lose to inferior guys -- for example, in 2009 the record among the Top 5 vs. each other was extremely similar. Nadal actually was best. But Federer's ability to almost never lose to anybody outside the top 5 was decisive. Meanwhile guys like Murray and Djokovic lost a lot more than Nadal/Federer to guys in the 5-15 range ...

So record v. top 10 is only part of the story, avoiding bad upsets is also part of the story, not skipping a bunch of top events is as well.
 
T

TennisFan008

Guest
This just shows that Nadal is where he is thanks to greater consistency.
Rafa = Male Wozniacki

Maybe one of the reasons Nadal hasn't managed to beat top player recently is because they are either injured or playing in clown mode so they can't even reach QF/SF/F where they can play against him? Ever thought of that?

Only true for Rome and MC.

If he wins titles he deserves to be #1, as simple as that.

Unless, your name is Roger Federer. 10 char.
 
T

TennisFan008

Guest
Rafa's h2h vs notable HC players on HC:

3-3 vs fed (1 of last 3)
3-7 vs nole (1 of last 6)
4-3 vs murray (1 of last 4)
2-3 vs delpo (0 of last 3)
1-5 vs fixer (0 of last 5)
2-3 vs duck (1 of last 3)
0-1 vs toad
0-1 vs cilic

Terrible stuff really. Just goes to show what a one dimensional mug this tapas muncher is.
 
You are right. And that's why it's so difficult to reach the top and to stay there. That's why some players do everything they can, even when they are injured, to keep playing. Because they know what it costs to reach the top, they know what it's going to cost if they have to do it again. That's why a champion is a champion: because he can get there and he can stay there. When players like Federer, Nadal, Djokovic and Murray go through a bad moment, if they can stay at the top, it means one thing: they are champions. If some players reach the number 3, 4, 5 and disappear, it's their problem. If some players don't manage to get there, it's their problem too. The public doesn't need to see the flavour of the month becoming a top player. It needs more.

Actually a lot of what I'm saying is that it's extremely difficult to get to the top, but staying there is comparatively much easier. Sure some guys ride the strength of a few huge performances to a high ranking and then plummet when it comes time to defend them next year. But it's not quite as simple as saying, he earned the points, therefore he deserves his ranking. For instance, imagine a player who is actually the 2nd best player in the world over the course of a year, and reaches #2 in the rankings. Then he parties and drinks a little too mcuh after the year end championship, and goes into the next season playing at the level of #8-10 in the world. Just on the strength of the draws he'll get and the way points are awarded, even if he carries that #8 form throughout the entire year, I bet he wouldn't drop below #4. That ranking by itself is like a couple thousand point headstart on the field. Consider Nadal in roughly #10 in the world form last fall. His #2 draw was worth 720 pts instead of likely 90 or 180 if he had to actually play a #10 draw at the US Open. These advantages really add up over the course of a year for a player who is overranked in the top 8 but not necessarily in free fall.
 

Semi-Pro

Hall of Fame
Actually a lot of what I'm saying is that it's extremely difficult to get to the top, but staying there is comparatively much easier. Sure some guys ride the strength of a few huge performances to a high ranking and then plummet when it comes time to defend them next year. But it's not quite as simple as saying, he earned the points, therefore he deserves his ranking. For instance, imagine a player who is actually the 2nd best player in the world over the course of a year, and reaches #2 in the rankings. Then he parties and drinks a little too mcuh after the year end championship, and goes into the next season playing at the level of #8-10 in the world. Just on the strength of the draws he'll get and the way points are awarded, even if he carries that #8 form throughout the entire year, I bet he wouldn't drop below #4. That ranking by itself is like a couple thousand point headstart on the field. Consider Nadal in roughly #10 in the world form last fall. His #2 draw was worth 720 pts instead of likely 90 or 180 if he had to actually play a #10 draw at the US Open. These advantages really add up over the course of a year for a player who is overranked in the top 8 but not necessarily in free fall.

It's actually the opposite. Staying on top is more difficult because you have to consistently perform well in order avoid the risk of getting knocked off a top position, not to mention the pressure of being a top player.
 
It's actually the opposite. Staying on top is more difficult because you have to consistently perform well in order avoid the risk of getting knocked off a top position, not to mention the pressure of being a top player.

Your draws are much easier and you get exponentially more points for each win. I don't see how you can look at those two factors and not realize what an advantage the ranking provides for point collection.

You don't have to consistently perform well. That's a myth. No one in the top 10 has been remotely consistent in the past year aside from Nadal when he's not been injured. Being able to have consistently good draws, and occasionally have it break wide open for you is all you need, and it is a huge advantage.

Pressure is debatable. It affects different players in different ways. In some ways it's tough when everyone's gunning for you, but opponents are also more likely to choke when they feel the pressure of being up a set or a break against a top player.
 
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