Rooting for Shapo, but realistically he has next to no shot here.
41/2019 R32 Shanghai Masters Hard Novak Djokovic Denis Shapovalov 6-3 6-3
20/2019 R32 Rome Masters Clay Novak Djokovic Denis Shapovalov 6-1 6-3
3/2019 R32 Australian Open Hard Novak Djokovic Denis Shapovalov 6-3 6-4 4-6 6-0
We can throw out Rome because Shapo's game in tatters. The Auz Open is probably the best match to use for reference. The score is a bit misleading, but Djokovic basically crushed Shapo.
Nole blinked in the 3rd set and gave away a break of serve and Shapo was off to the races which shows he is a threat if given the opportunity.
Shapo was hitting the cover off the ball coming into the match and Djoko amazing neutralized his game shutting down the winners. I was stunned at just how well he handled Shapo.
Coming into this final Shapovalov is playing much, much better and can actually rally quite a bit. Monfils showed that sheer pushery no longer will work against Shapo who now builds points and even finishes them off at net. Melbourne is still fresh in my mind and so hard to see this one slipping through Djoko's hands.
The one hope for Shapo is that Djokovic is still sick for the final. You can still here it in his voice and he definitely was coasting in his match with Dimitrov only bring the energy and his best at key moments. So if Shapo can hang in the rallies and work the ball as he's done with the rest of the field he does have a chance to force Djokovic to play aggressively in order to shorten points. Djokovic has shown fine signs of doing just that game here (see Tsitsipas match), but I'm not so sure this return to Peakovic 2015/2016 levels is sustainable. For that reason I'm throwing a bomb on this one and going Shapo in 3 with Nole fading at the end.