Bautista's chances vs Djokovic as a percentage

[King No1e]

Mods pls lock thread once match starts, but right now what are Bautista Agut's chances of winning Friday's semifinal vs Djokovic?

 

[Fabresque]

He has a decent chance. He’s got nothing to lose. Djokovic is defending his title. He’s also beaten Djokovic twice this year. I think if anyone’s gonna scalp Djokovic at a slam, it’d be him.

But then again, this is Djokovic we’re talking about. Guys peaking at the QF stage again. Just destroyed Goffin. Not to mention, he’s motivated. He’s hungry for that Fed/Nadal final waiting for him. RBA might be a frightening prospect, but Djokovic knows what to do.

 

[OhYes]

I hate that guy. I think Djokovic hates him too. Not as a person ofc, but as a player.

 

[King No1e]

I hate that guy. I think Djokovic hates him too. Not as a person ofc, but as a player.

He's the definition of "dangerous floater." Flat hitter, mentally strong, and has a record of giant-killing.

 

[OhYes]

He's the definition of "dangerous floater." Flat hitter, mentally strong, and has a record of giant-killing.

And he returns everything Nole sends him at. Hate him.

 

[Towny]

RBA has had some success against Djokovic this year and is playing decently so I'll give him 10%. But make no mistake, Novak is the overwhelming favourite for the match and indeed the title as well. Poor Goffin didn't know what hit him

 

[BigServer1]

5%. Novak in a Major >>>>>>>> Novak anywhere else. He's 3-0 against RBA in Majors, 4-0 come Friday. Everyone has a chance in each match (injuries, etc.), but RBA's are minimal here.

 

[Ultra 2]

I don't post here much.. but RBA is playing extremely well.. wouldn't be surprised if he beats Joker. And I like Novak. So does that mean around 40%? Whatever

 

[Standaa]

like 2 %.

 

[Legend of Borg]

He's the definition of "dangerous floater." Flat hitter, mentally strong, and has a record of giant-killing.

i thought a dangerous floater was something suresh did after a long visit to an all you can eat indian buffet

 

[WhiskeyEE]

= chance of Novak injury + chance of tornado + ... + chance of Novak playing very poorly

Just under 10% I'd say.

 

[WhiskeyEE]

He's the definition of "dangerous floater." Flat hitter, mentally strong, and has a record of giant-killing.

Never heard (or seen) this about him.

He has no record of beating the top players when it matters. Choked badly against Federer in Halle even.

He is only this deep in a major because the tier 2 players (Cilic, Raonic, etc.) who he would normally lose to are all garbage this year.

 

[vive le beau jeu !]

pepe %

 

[King No1e]

pepe %

 

[Cortana]

5%. Only if Djokovic breaks one leg.

 

[The Blond Blur]

i thought a dangerous floater was something suresh did after a long visit to an all you can eat indian buffet

Pretty sure it doesn't matter what he eats

 

[Deleted member 733170]

6-7%

 

[travlerajm]

He’s certainly a big underdog. But you can’t deny that his style of play matches up really well against Djokovic. His accurate penetrating strokes are tough to counterpunch, and Djokovic’s strokes sit up right in his hitting zone. If he can have a good day on his first serve (his biggest weakness), he can pull off the upset.

 

[ibbi]

He's usually good for a set, so what's that? 33% He ain't quite half way there, but he's for sure living on a prayer.

 

[-NN-]

6%

 

[King No1e]

6%

Is that you in your avatar?

 

[Poisoned Slice]

4.5%

 

[-NN-]

Is that you in your avatar?

Absolutely. I'm a 3-time Grand Slam Champion.

 

[-NN-]

4.5%

% that Thurman beats Pac?

 

[King No1e]

Absolutely. I'm a 3-time Grand Slam Champion.

Wait a minute, is that MuryGOAT?

 

[Steve0904]

Wait a minute, is that MuryGOAT?

Wawrinka in recovery mode before his QF against Federer at RG.

 

[Standaa]

Wait a minute, is that MuryGOAT?

how can you not recognize wawa

 

[Steve0904]

how can you not recognize wawa

It's not super easy with the small picture and the mask up over the mouth.

 

[Im(moral) Winner]

100%

 

[King No1e]

how can you not recognize wawa

I can only recognize one player.

 

[TripleATeam]

10-15%.

 

[AceSalvo]

0%. But,

 

[-NN-]

I can only recognize one player.

Unusually handsome photo of Nadal there.

 

[Cupcake]

15%. A low chance... but still a chance.

Anderson made it into the final somehow last year... why not RBA?

Another 'no money wagered' guess.

 

[Pheasant]

This is Agut's first slam semi. This is also the first time that Agut made it to the R16 at Wimbledon. However, Agut is playing by far his best grass court tennis ever. He gave Khachanov and Paire some nice beatdowns. He also played Pella quite well.

OK, Agut. I'll give you some respect here. Djoker will need 4 sets to take you out.

 

[King No1e]

Unusually handsome photo of Nadal there.

Nadal? NADAL??????

How blind does one have to be to look at a high-res picture of Federer and call it Nadal?

 

[Bhagi Katbamna]

no choice for -10%? Djokovic could show up with one leg in a cast and beat RBA.

 

[Lebsta]

I give 4% and that’s only due to Djoker feeling a bit sick. He wasn’t looking to well in that first set against Goffin

 

[Poisoned Slice]

% that Thurman beats Pac?

1% for one time. haha Nah. Honestly, I'm not really sure. Could be one of those idksab fights. I still haven't watched much of Thurman. Think I might fancy him here. Not sure.

 

[-NN-]

1% for one time. haha Nah. Honestly, I'm not really sure. Could be one of those idksab fights. I still haven't watched much of Thurman. Think I might fancy him here. Not sure.

I'll take Keith but not confident.

 

[Djokovic_is_the_best#1]

He has a small chance. Maybe 25% at most. As he’s beaten Djoko twice this year. However, this is a slam, best of 5 and also on centre court. Agut has never been here before, whereas this is just another day at office for Novak! Agut will feel the pressure more for sure! Novaks game is looking great too and he’s peaking at right time! I see Novak winning in 4 sets, maybe 3, if he’s really in the zone!