How many GS does Novak win in the next 1.5 years? There are 7 tournaments

[secund2nun]

I think it is unlikely we will see a big drop from Novak within the next 1.5 years. I think he will remain at this current level or near it for at least 1.5 years thanks to his diet, training, fasting, adaptability, scheduling strategy, and his mental mastery of the game etc. His intermittent fasting is a huge part to his slow aging that gets overlooked imo. Anyways there are 7 GS tournaments in the next 1.5 year:

23 WB
23 USO
24 AO
24 FO
24 WB
24 USO
25 AO

I think both AO are wins. Both WBs should be wins also. That's 4 titles there. I will say he wins 1 of the 3 USO/FO tournaments to bring his total to 5 out of 7. It is possibly he could be upset at a WB or AO, but it is also possible that he wins more than 1 out of the 3 FO/USO tournaments. Aside from at the USO, no one has been able to stop Novak in recent years except for Nadal at the FO and he is basically done at this point. I can see a best case scenario where he wins 6 out of the next 7 GS tournaments.

5 is my prediction, with 4 as second most likely and 6 as the 3rd most likely scenario.

 

[itrium84]

Voted 3, and I consider this prediction to be pretty optimistic.
2 titles more would be realistic prediction.

 

[Deleted member 629564]

7

 

[nolefam_2024]

Voted 2. He is 36.

 

[Lleytonstation]

Until he gets bored he is the favorite in every slam. Period.

 

[tennis_pro]

1-2. As @nachiket nolefam mentioned, the dude is 36. Fed won 3/5 Slams at 35-36 and was done. Nadal had an outside chance at the Slam in 2022 at 35-36 and was done. Djokovic can maybe grab 2 more.

 

[jm1980]

1-2. As @nachiket nolefam mentioned, the dude is 36. Fed won 3/5 Slams at 35-36 and was done. Nadal had an outside chance at the Slam in 2022 at 35-36 and was done. Djokovic can maybe grab 2 more.

This. When Fed won the 2018 AO nobody thought that was going to be his last. When Nadal won RG last year nobody thought he wouldn't win at least one of the next few Slams. At this age, everything can change very quickly

 

[Kralingen]

I think he gets the next 2, wins CYGS, and from then on the motivation and fire is likely gone.

 

[Deleted member 629564]

I think he gets the next 2, wins CYGS, and from then on the motivation and fire is likely gone.

Won't be gone.
Djokovic is perfectly aware that according to some TTW pundits he needs to win no less than 30 slams to stay in the GOAT race.

 

[tennis_pro]

Won't be gone.
Djokovic is perfectly aware that according to some TTW pundits he needs to win no less than 30 slams to stay in the GOAT race.

Djokovic knows the drill, yes.

 

[TheNachoMan]

Won't be gone.
Djokovic is perfectly aware that according to some TTW pundits he needs to win no less than 30 slams to stay in the GOAT race.

He needs to start playing with a one handed backhand.

 

[gold325]

There are only 6 in next 1.5 years
3/6

If you include 2025 AO then
4/7

He will retire there.

 

[Razer]

3-4 he can win if he tries hard and luck favors him

 

[tennis3]

I don't think Alcaraz is cramping at the moment. He was playing Djokovic pretty tight.

Also, hate to say it, but Djokovic is unlikely to remain injury free.

He's pretty tough to beat at AO and Wimbledon still.

• I'll say he wins both Wimbledons. He can lose in the early rounds to a big server. If he gets to week 2, he wins.
• Pretty decent chance he wins both AO as well. He's just so dominant there.
• He won't win the French
• I'm 50/50 on him winning US Open this year. He won't win it next year

I'd go with 4.

 

[Mediterranean Might]

There are only 6 in next 1.5 years
3/6

If you include 2025 AO then
4/7

He will retire there.

Novak is so determined, I don’t see him retiring immediately after a slam win. He’d keep going until the possibility of another just isn’t there

 

[HashDump]

AO 2024 will be milestone for Djokovic. After that tournament we should be able to guess the date of his retirement.

 

[tennis3]

Until he gets bored he is the favorite in every slam. Period.

That's crazy. Alcaraz was a "lock" to beat him at the French. Just one week ago. Alcaraz played him very tight and then cramped. And now Djokovic is the "clear favorite" in every Slam? Amazing.

I think once Alcaraz realizes how good he is, he will be the one to beat. And what I mean by this is, he still takes too much risk with his shot selection when he doesn't need to. Once he understands that he doesn't have to be a human highlight reel, he just needs to beat his opponent, he will be very hard to beat. He seems to be making better choices this year than he did last year. I think very soon he will have it "dialed in".

 

[uscwang]

AO 2025 to Novak is about WB 2019 to Federer age-wise.
My realistic prediction is 2 - 3 between AO and WB, no RG, 0-1 USO.
I felt he will go all in for Paris Olympics in 2024 and save himself in RG before that.
I'll be happily surprised if he wins a 4th USO but the recent history of USO and his own records there suggest otherwise.
Total 2 to 4 till AO 2025. I'll bet 3 if I have to. After that, maybe 1 more.

 

[fedfan24]

23 W 99.99% chance - lock
23 USO 40% chance - favourite but Alcaraz and Medvedev will have their say
24 AO 90% chance - lock
24 RG 70% chance - clear favourite unless Nadal makes a comeback
24 W 99.99% chance - lock
24 USO 20% chance - one of the favourites
25 AO 70% chance - favourite but surely in 2 years he will decline a little and nextgen will improve


I say at least 4 slams possible up to 6. He won’t win 7/7.

 

[Matrix968]

Voted 3 but I'll be perfectly fine with just next two...

 

[toxicity]

Im fine with 2 but i voted 4. (2 Wimbledon, 1 US open and 1 AO)

 

[mahatma]

At this age 2 is the only answer which is close to reality. Have to factor in motivation, age, next gen etc

 

[TripleATeam]

Think 2, but voted 3. I'm pretty warm on Wimbledon this year and expect a few deep runs. Just a question of when Father Time finally wins the battle.

 

[Robert C]

That's crazy. Alcaraz was a "lock" to beat him at the French. Just one week ago. Alcaraz played him very tight and then cramped. And now Djokovic is the "clear favorite" in every Slam? Amazing.

I think once Alcaraz realizes how good he is, he will be the one to beat. And what I mean by this is, he still takes too much risk with his shot selection when he doesn't need to. Once he understands that he doesn't have to be a human highlight reel, he just needs to beat his opponent, he will be very hard to beat. He seems to be making better choices this year than he did last year. I think very soon he will have it "dialed in".

“Alcaraz was a "lock" to beat him at the French.”

Only to someone completely deluded. Amongst bookies, Alcaraz was a narrow favourite based on form in the prior matches (which isn’t always predictive with Novak).

I think Alcaraz is doing things the right way. Going for his shots, while slowly improving his shot selection, so the errors keep coming down. It will lead to a higher level ultimately, compared to being more conservative.

It’s a real shame we didn’t see the titanic battle we should have between them. Alcaraz is totally at the right level to have a dominant streak but Novak is a mental machine so they can each drive the other to higher levels.

 

[sportsfan1]

Until he gets bored he is the favorite in every slam. Period.

He will continue his domination beating the next atg contender, his son Stefan Djokovic, irking jelena. But his grandson's emergence on the tour could be a challenge.

They didn't make 36 year olds like they did with Novak beating up on 20 year olds. Kuerten, Agassi, fed, nadal all had back, foot or some other issues.

 

[DSH]

7

 

[Matrix968]

Next two plus one more Wimby. In mu opinion, that will be the most beneficial for his legacy, if we assume he wins only 3. Not that I mind seeing him lift one more Coupe des Mousquetaires

 

[DogInSpace]

This. When Fed won the 2018 AO nobody thought that was going to be his last. When Nadal won RG last year nobody thought he wouldn't win at least one of the next few Slams. At this age, everything can change very quickly

When Fed won his last slam he still had to battle other big 3 members in the next slams. When Nadal won RG last year there was still another big 3 member on the tour. Who Novak Djokovic has to battle? Cramparaz? Little kid who doesn't know how to fight? Norrie? Hurkacz? Ruud?

 

[SecondToNone]

When Fed won his last slam he still had to battle other big 3 members in the next slams. When Nadal won RG last year there was still another big 3 member on the tour. Who Novak Djokovic has to battle? Cramparaz? Little kid who doesn't know how to fight? Norrie? Hurkacz? Ruud?

Isn't Djokovic the player who played the most against Nadal (60 matches) Federer (50) and Murray (35)? What do you want more from him?

 

[TheNachoMan]

I take nothing for granted. I’m treating every slam like his last.

 

[GabeT]

He's aged better than the other Big 3. So assuming no big injuries I am hoping for 3-4

 

[DogInSpace]

Isn't Djokovic the player who played the most against Nadal (60 matches) Federer (50) and Murray (35)? What do you want more from him?

There is no opinion or claim in my post that you replied to. If you see anything that is factualy wrong with it then point it out.

 

[DSH]

He's aged better than the other Big 3. So assuming no big injuries I am hoping for 3-4

Without a doubt, Djokovic is the 'Benjamin Button' of tennis.

 

[jm1980]

When Fed won his last slam he still had to battle other big 3 members in the next slams. When Nadal won RG last year there was still another big 3 member on the tour. Who Novak Djokovic has to battle? Cramparaz? Little kid who doesn't know how to fight? Norrie? Hurkacz? Ruud?

Fed, sure, kind of? He did lose a couple Slam matches to Nadal and Djokovic, but he also lost to Anderson, Millman, Dimitrov, etc.

Nadal hasn't even played Djokovic since he won RG last year (and probably won't play him until clay season 2024 at the earliest), so not sure what your point is

 

[Hypo Crisis]

Who the hell knows.
But if I was to be sure Nadal won't catch me, I would go for 4 more max

 

[Hypo Crisis]

Oh and 1 more thing, if he wants to be remembered as GOAT, he shpuld retire after winning a Slam, not after losing or with injury. To let ppl think.

 

[Gary Duane]

I take nothing for granted. I’m treating every slam like his last.

Wise man. Plan for the worst, hope for the best.

 

[DSH]

Who the hell knows.
But if I was to be sure Nadal won't catch me, I would go for 4 more max

I am satisfied with Nadal beating Djokovic in Paris 2024 and saying goodbye there winning his third Olympic gold.

 

[GabeT]

Next two Wimbys would be sweet!

 

[Milanez82]

Oh and 1 more thing, if he wants to be remembered as GOAT, he shpuld retire after winning a Slam, not after losing or with injury. To let ppl think.

MJ did it twice.
Made people think if he comes back he will dominate again.
Though back then when he retired as the best player at age of 35.5, players his age were playing garbage time.

Leaving with the aura on is important.

 

[Sampras-Bruguera 1993]

4 probably. I wouldn't put another RG past him with Nadal out of the equation, and 2 more Wimbledons at least. HC's are gonna be more tough because thats where all the players are at their best. But then again he's gonna be gunning hard for the Calendar Slam so US Open is possible.

 

[Hypo Crisis]

I am satisfied with Nadal beating Djokovic in Paris 2024 and saying goodbye there winning his third Olympic gold.

Not in your wildest dreams.
I would be satisfied that he comes back at all and wins Acapulco.

 

[LaVie en Rose]

Before he is gone ,needs to play OHBH and ambidextrous

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1646484403504181249

Won't be gone.
Djokovic is perfectly aware that according to some TTW pundits he needs to win no less than 30 slams to stay in the GOAT race.

 

[-NN-]

I think a lot of this depends on 1. how quickly Alcaraz becomes mentally ready on a consistent basis for the biggest Slam matches - and that could be very soon and 2. if Medvedev can maintain a top HC level over the next couple of years, as it's an uncomfortable match-up for Djokovic. He leads it 9-5 IIRC but that ain't half bad from Medvedev, not to mention he torched Djokovic in straights in a USO final.

I'm optimistic that both guys will stand and deliver over the next couple of years, but Djokovic will likely still get his too.

 

[Poisoned Slice]

7 and 7. Keep em coming.

 

[DSH]

Not in your wildest dreams.
I would be satisfied that he comes back at all and wins Acapulco.

Nadal doesn't want tequila, he'll go for the champagne.

 

[Hypo Crisis]

Nadal doesn't want tequila, he'll go for the champagne.

If Alcaraz let him

 

[iopzzza]

I can easily see 2025 being farewell tour if he wins CYGS this year + OLYMPICS next year. Otherwise even with his diets and stuff, i doubt he will delay father time much more than 2024-2025. Lets be honest he will be almost 39 when 2025 ends.

 

[secund2nun]

I can easily see 2025 being farewell tour if he wins CYGS this year + OLYMPICS next year. Otherwise even with his diets and stuff, i doubt he will delay father time much more than 2024-2025. Lets be honest he will be almost 39 when 2025 ends.

One interesting thing is that Nadal and Federer both retired or will retire because of injuries. If not for injuries I think they would have played longer. As long as Novak avoids injuries I think he will play for several more years. Even after he does decline and he is no longer the best player like he currently is he will still be one of the best players and he will still have a good shot at winning Wimbledon and the AO, with a puncher's chance at the USO and FO. Unlike now when he captures 3 GS a year after he declines more I think he will still win 1 GS a year for a 1 or 2.

 

[Texas Tennis Fan]

Isn't Djokovic the player who played the most against Nadal (60 matches) Federer (50) and Murray (35)? What do you want more from him?

Yes, but this argument is always bad, because it seems to forget that Federer had a number of years with no ATG in his way and led the slam race by 16 to 9 to 1. Is it so unreasonable that Djokovic who had to battle two GOAT candidates his whole career, now has the same advantage that Federer had early in his career?