Nadal tops the leaderboard at ROS - It’s official

Martin J

Hall of Fame
Nadal vs Muller 4:2 h2h including 2 bagels. Muller's 1st victory was in 2005 when Rafa was learning to play on grass.
Muller is one of the players who knew how to exploit Nadal's return position with his serve, thanks to the incredible placement, so the stats you listed has little to do with the original comment I replied to.
 

Lew II

G.O.A.T.
Do we have return stats numbers specifically for Djokovic v Nadal matches?
Djokovic vs Nadal stats in the h2h:

34.8%1st Srv. Return Won %31.9%
48.5%2nd Srv. Return Won %47.5%
151Return Rating146

39.2%Return Points Won %37.2%
39.4%Rtn. In-play Pts. Won %38.5%
6.54Points per Return Game6.24
2.56Pts. Won per Rtn. Game2.32
41.3%Break Points Won %43.5%
0.63BPs per Return Game0.53
3.00BPs per Set2.61
7.9BPs per Match6.9

26.1%Return Games Won %23.1%
1.24Rtn. Gms. Won per Set1.13
3.3Rtn. Gms. Won per Match3.0
 

zagor

Bionic Poster
Still think this has much more to do with Nadal's speed, anticipation and ridiculous defensive shotmaking than the ROS as an isolated shot.

Nadal edges Djokovic on 1st and 2nd serve bp conversion rate, Djokovic is by far the best overall in converting on 2nd serve bp in matches he won and lost, and Federer is on par with the 2 on 1st serve bp conversions but far behind on 2nd serve bp conversion which means it's totally mental.

Partly mental, Fed is great at blocking back fast serves when he's focused, not so good at attacking the 2nd serve.
 

zagor

Bionic Poster
^^^ Yet commentators still spread the myth that Djoker is the greatest returner of all time.

Novak definitely has the best ROS in this era at the very least.

Now return game is a different thing. Novak has great defense but Nadal is in a league of his own when it comes to hitting the ball on the run.
 

ADuck

Legend
Stats heavily skewed by clay. Djokovic is winning more return games on both grass and hard.
Clay - Nadal 43%, Djokovic 35%
Grass - Nadal 23%, Djokovic 26%
Hard - Nadal 29%, Djokovic 32%
Even if Djokovic wins more on hard and grass, the gap between them on those two surfaces isn't as significant as the gap on clay, hence it's perfectly reasonable to say overall, Nadal is still the better returner (at least that is what the stats seem to infer). Be careful how you are using the word 'skewed' though, because the total points played in the past 12 months is actually skewed towards hard courts since that's where the majority of points are played. So even with this hard court skew, Nadal still leads in this stat.

Someone correct me if that is not how these stats were collected.
 
D

Deleted member 763691

Guest
Clay is a legitimate surface and older than hard.
And until about 2009 Rod Laver was universally recognized as the greatest tennis player of all-time, despite never winning/playing slams on hardcourt :)
And even a hardcourt legend like Andre Agassi didn't even play the Australian Open until 1995!
Anyway, if anyone cares about hardcourt.....Rafa has won more US Opens than Djokovic.
 
Even if Djokovic wins more on hard and grass, the gap between them on those two surfaces isn't as significant as the gap on clay, hence it's perfectly reasonable to say overall, Nadal is still the better returner (at least that is what the stats seem to infer). Be careful how you are using the word 'skewed' though, because the total points played in the past 12 months is actually skewed towards hard courts since that's where the majority of points are played. So even with this hard court skew, Nadal still leads in this stat.

Someone correct me if that is not how these stats were collected.
Stats I posted are career overall stats, from all seasons. Nadal leads Novak overall by 33% to 32% in return games won career wise, when all surfaces are put together.

Currently in 2020, both are at 28% return games won.

In 2019 Nadal is a little bit behind Novak on hard and grass and way in front of him on clay. It's quite expected that Nadal leads overall in return games won stats in 2019.

Djokovic's serve is becoming more and more of a weapon so he isn't trying to break as much as he used to. OTOH Nadal will never miss a chance to bagel some poor mug.
 

clayqueen

Talk Tennis Guru
Muller is one of the players who knew how to exploit Nadal's return position with his serve, thanks to the incredible placement, so the stats you listed has little to do with the original comment I replied to.
What???????????

Nadal has bageled him twice! Once on grass!
 

Lew II

G.O.A.T.
Djokovic is the only player who is top20 on all surfaces in return points win percentage (#3 hard, #14 clay, #18 grass), while Nadal is #69 on grass (#1 clay, #19 hard).

Rank on their worst surface (return points %):

Djokovic #18 grass
Chang #22 clay
Nalbandian #23 clay
Hewitt #26 clay
Murray #27 clay
Agassi #34 grass
Gustaffson #39 grass
Ferrer #40 grass
Dosedel #46 hard
Edberg #47 clay
Kucera #50 clay
Schwartzmann #51 grass
Coria #52 grass
Krickstein #52 clay
Korda #55 clay
Carbonell #56 grass
Canas #60 hard
Nishikori #64 clay
Simon #66 grass
Clavet #67 hard
Nadal #69 grass
 

ADuck

Legend
Stats I posted are career overall stats, from all seasons. Nadal leads Novak overall by 33% to 32% in return games won career wise, when all surfaces are put together.

Currently in 2020, both are at 28% return games won.

In 2019 Nadal is a little bit behind Novak on hard and grass and way in front of him on clay. It's quite expected that Nadal leads overall in return games won stats in 2019.

Djokovic's serve is becoming more and more of a weapon so he isn't trying to break as much as he used to. OTOH Nadal will never miss a chance to bagel some poor mug.
You should dig deeper then and take a look at return points won %, and return games won % against higher ranked opponents. The thing you have to keep in mind though is that rank is dependent on points, and points are dependent upon what tournaments are on offer, and most of those tournaments are on hard courts. That means ranking isn't a good indicator of level when it comes to clay.
 

Noleberic123

G.O.A.T.
Sure, but look how much closer Nadal is to Djokovic on grass and hard in comparison to the gap between them on clay. It's not like Nadal is that far behind Djokovic on the other surfaces. And considering Nadal's worst surfaces are Djokovic's best surfaces, the fact that Nadal is still only 3% behind on them shows just how deadly he can be in return games on any surface.
3% is a lot. Since 2011 Djokovic has never been under 32% for returns games won. The years it was under that were 2007-2010. Even back then it was like 29%,30% or something. I haven't checked in a while. But that 1 or 2 percent made a hell of a lot of difference. So Djokovic on HC and grass is miles above Nadal when it comes to returning while Nadal is in a universe on clay.
 

Martin J

Hall of Fame
What???????????

Nadal has bageled him twice! Once on grass!
Again, that has nothing to do with the fact that Muller exploits Nadal's return with his type of serve, which was, again, the point of the original post. Or you are one of those "experts" who prefer to read the Wikipedia articles instead of watching tennis matches?
 

Hitman

Bionic Poster
3% is a lot. Since 2011 Djokovic has never been under 32% for returns games won. The years it was under that were 2007-2010. Even back then it was like 29%,30% or something. I haven't checked in a while. But that 1 or 2 percent made a hell of a lot of difference. So Djokovic on HC and grass is miles above Nadal when it comes to returning while Nadal is in a universe on clay.

Yes, but Nadal is still a lot more closer to Djokovic on Djokovic's best surface/s than the other way round. 3% is a lot if you look at just HC and Grass, but 3% is not a lot relative to the difference between them on clay and that is my point. We are looking at all surfaces combined here, and Nadal has been more competitive relatively on hard and grass than Djokovic has been on clay.
 

Noleberic123

G.O.A.T.
Still think this has much more to do with Nadal's speed, anticipation and ridiculous defensive shotmaking than the ROS as an isolated shot.



Partly mental, Fed is great at blocking back fast serves when he's focused, not so good at attacking the 2nd serve.
Exactly. Nadal's return as a shot is nothing compared to Novak's. He is a great returner because of what he does after returning
 

Lew II

G.O.A.T.
Return points won against over 6'4 tall:

Djokovic 41.60% (#3)
Nadal 39.17% (#13)

against over 6'2 tall:

Djokovic 40.85% (#3)
Nadal 40.36% (#18)
 

clayqueen

Talk Tennis Guru
Again, that has nothing to do with the fact that Muller exploits Nadal's return with his type of serve, which was, again, the point of the original post. Or you are one of those "experts" who prefer to read the Wikipedia articles instead of watching tennis matches?
If Rafa can bagel him twice that means he couldn't cope with Rafa's serve. Simple.
 

Lew II

G.O.A.T.
Yes, but Nadal is still a lot more closer to Djokovic on Djokovic's best surface/s than the other way round. 3% is a lot if you look at just HC and Grass, but 3% is not a lot relative to the difference between them on clay and that is my point. We are looking at all surfaces combined here, and Nadal has been more competitive relatively on hard and grass than Djokovic has been on clay.
Djokovic is 18th best on his worst surface. Nadal is 69th best on his worst surface.

Check post #60.
 

Noleberic123

G.O.A.T.
Yes, but Nadal is still a lot more closer to Djokovic on Djokovic's best surface/s than the other way round. 3% is a lot if you look at just HC and Grass, but 3% is not a lot relative to the difference between them on clay and that is my point. We are looking at all surfaces combined here, and Nadal has been more competitive relatively on hard and grass than Djokovic has been on clay.
Yes but two surfaces are more than one. Plus Nadal is almost impossible to hit through on a clay court which is why he has such high stats. I bet you anything he is harder to break than Fed on a clay court. Does that make him a better server than Fed? It has little to do with his serve or return. While it is true that Nadal utilizes serve in order for the first shot to be on his FH
 

Noleberic123

G.O.A.T.
According to ATP stats from 2019 here are the top 5 servers on clay.
1. Federer
2. Sam Querrey
3. Nadal
4. Kyrgios
5. Opelka.

Are we saying that Nadal has a better serve than Kyrgios or Opelka?

Nadal's serve/return combo isn't what makes him special on clay
 

Lew II

G.O.A.T.
Yes but two surfaces are more than one. Plus Nadal is almost impossible to hit through on a clay court which is why he has such high stats. I bet you anything he is harder to break than Fed on a clay court. Does that make him a better server than Fed? It has little to do with his serve or return. While it is true that Nadal utilizes serve in order for the first shot to be on his FH
True.

Nadal 84.83% of games won
Federer 84.76% of games won
 

Martin J

Hall of Fame
If Rafa can bagel him twice that means he couldn't cope with Rafa's serve. Simple.
And it has nothing to do with what I said. You are either blind or never watched any of their matches if you couldn't notice that Nadal has troubles with Muller's serve. Simple.
 

Noleberic123

G.O.A.T.
According to ATP stats from 2019 here are the top 5 servers on clay.
1. Federer
2. Sam Querrey
3. Nadal
4. Kyrgios
5. Opelka.

Are we saying that Nadal has a better serve than Kyrgios or Opelka?

Nadal's serve/return combo isn't what makes him special on clay
These rankings actually aren't true. For some reason the ATP site is slow for me today. I just checked again. Nadal is the best server on clay for the past 52 weeks which proves my point even further.
 

Lew II

G.O.A.T.
According to ATP stats from 2019 here are the top 5 servers on clay.
1. Federer
2. Sam Querrey
3. Nadal
4. Kyrgios
5. Opelka.

Are we saying that Nadal has a better serve than Kyrgios or Opelka?

Nadal's serve/return combo isn't what makes him special on clay

Nadal on clay has a better serve than Federer and a better return than Djokovic, as the percentage of serve/return games won proves.

hqdefault.jpg
 

Lew II

G.O.A.T.
Yeah I'm not sure what happened. The rankings did seem strange to me ahahaha
I was just being ironic about what the clay return/serve win percentages mean.

Clay is the surface where serve and return have the least relevance, as the rallies are the longest. The fact that it's Nadal's best surface should tell something about the level of his return (and serve).
 
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You should dig deeper then and take a look at return points won %, and return games won % against higher ranked opponents. The thing you have to keep in mind though is that rank is dependent on points, and points are dependent upon what tournaments are on offer, and most of those tournaments are on hard courts. That means ranking isn't a good indicator of level when it comes to clay.
I just don't have time to make such research.

I looked up their respective matches against Thiem in this AO, for what it's worth. Novak is better at return points won on both 1st and 2nd serve, overall 36% to 30%. Nadal is better at BP conversion 44% to 42%.

Looking at their respective matches against Thiem at RG last year, Nadal won more return points 45% to 37% and Novak had better BP conversion 58% to 53%. Guess Thiem is a good example because he's good on clay.
 

MeatTornado

Talk Tennis Guru
I think it should also be mentioned that Rafa's a maniac who tries to break every single game, even if he's already up a set and a double-break. Novak's much more content these days to just cruise along and zone out when he's already winning. So that definitely influences the stats.
 

SonnyT

Legend
Clay - Nadal 43%, Djokovic 35%
Grass - Nadal 23%, Djokovic 26%
Hard - Nadal 29%, Djokovic 32%

Obviously grass harder than hc harder than clay. Equally obvious, Djokovic best at the hard stuff, Nadal best at the easy stuff!
 

clayqueen

Talk Tennis Guru
Of course that it's a legitimate surface, but Nadal is quite exceptional on it. His return game is nowhere near effective on HC and Grass, not to speak about indoor. It's just how it is.
So you are saying he should get no credit on clay because he is exceptional on it? Is that admitting that neither Djoker nor Fedr is exceptional on their best surface?
 
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clayqueen

Talk Tennis Guru
I think it should also be mentioned that Rafa's a maniac who tries to break every single game, even if he's already up a set and a double-break. Novak's much more content these days to just cruise along and zone out when he's already winning. So that definitely influences the stats.
I don’t think so. In tennis, it’s never over until the fat lady sings. Nalbandian was a set and 2 breaks up against Rafa at the 2009 IW and Rafa went on to take the 3rd set 60 and eventually win the title.

If Djokovic cruises along and zones out when he is ‘already winning’ that’s a sign of arrogance and one of the reasons why he is boring to watch.
 

tennis_pro

Bionic Poster
And until about 2009 Rod Laver was universally recognized as the greatest tennis player of all-time, despite never winning/playing slams on hardcourt :)
And even a hardcourt legend like Andre Agassi didn't even play the Australian Open until 1995!
Anyway, if anyone cares about hardcourt.....Rafa has won more US Opens than Djokovic.
What a revelation that Laver never won a Slam on hard court when none existed in his era.
 

MichaelNadal

Bionic Poster
It's totally the return that's doing the job in his return stats LMAO.

How can you have good return stats if you aren't hitting a good first return in the first place? I can't imagine what you will be like if Nadal wins 2 more slams before he retires :whistle:
 

swordtennis

G.O.A.T.
The backhand return against Tsonga Wimbledon 2014 to end the match.
Have to agree Djokovic does the impossible unreal stuff on the ROS.
 
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