fair enough, allow me to elaborate.
Djokovic has played a lot of tennis in recent months, and I feel like it’s catching up with him. He played 5 sets in his SF. Rafa is fresh and has looked like his usual self after his loss in Rome.
Also have to wonder about Novak’s health. How is that shoulder holding up?
Finally, the last time these guys fought on clay....Djokovic needed a rabbits foot, a genie, and a 7 leaf clover just to win 1 set. Rome 2019, to me, is an indication of a bigger problem for Djokovic. He can’t scare Nadal on clay anymore (much like Nadal can’t scare Djokovic on hard courts anymore).