I hope Andy Murray wins this match.
Let's root for him.I hope Andy Murray wins this match.
Isn’t he injured?Medvedev starts to show some wear and tear, I won't be surprised with an upset
Congrats #21 super easy barely an inconvenience
Isn’t he injured?
A different way to look at it though is that Djokovic is very, very likely to play one of them in the semis.
Medvedev has the easiest quarter.
Has about as much chance of winning it as I have.
Have faith, you never know
Brilliant draw for Medvedev.... Hoping we have a Djokovic - Zverev semi finals
Would surely seal the deal on the weak era eh?Have faith, you never know
Would surely seal the deal on the weak era eh?
If he can't get past Tiafoe (ranked #51) I really can't see him making much impression on the world #3!!
Excellent post. Well said.No offense, but the draw has never been more irrelevant. It would be like wondering whether a pitbull has to fight a chihuahua or a poodle for the next round. NID
Big Foe was peaking early.
Citybus is still tilted from the RG final.
I'm calling this now. I'm nailing my colours to the mast.
The quarter-finals will be:
Fritz-Fognini
Zverev-Korda
Medvedev-Schwartzmann
Rublev-Garin
You heard it here first.
Should have beaten Zverev in the Cincy semis but for choking away a 4-1 lead in the decider.
Does Schwartzy get past Isner?
And that's what's holding him back. You can't pull that sort of mistake against the top 10, even this top 10.
Isner is a one-trick pony. He's well past his sell-by date, and I would expect the plucky Argentine to despatch him with aplomb.
Novak has the toughest path to the Final based on seed, skill, and former achievement of players. At least Goffin and Nishikori don't seem to have the health or stamina for best of 5 right now, and Karat looks burnt out. If this was fair, Casper, the lowest seed in the top 8, would've been in his section, but of course the randomization happened to follow seeding for SFs and not QFs. I'm over these dumb ****ing draw methodologies.
Bro - there is a STRONG recency bias. Don't let the last 2 tournaments from Zed fool you into thinking that he changed.Current Zverev isn’t losing to sinner or PCB/shaps in my opinion. Zverev will make the semis at the very least.
Zverev has the toughest draw along with Titspas. I except Titsp to still make it to the SF (at least)- he will like the slower courts for his ROS.No one will stop the expected SF from happening, I predict.
Djokovic: Struff and Nishikori are 2 of his favorite pigeons. Goffin and De Minaur are easy for him. Karatsev isn't the player he was earlier this year, I doubt he'll even make the 4th round. Berrettini comes back from injury and looked awful in Cincinnati. Only potential threat is the inconsistent Hurkacz, IF he makes the QF.
Medvedev has the easiest draw by far. Evans, Dimitrov, Schwartzman, Ruud. He should handle them all easily. At this point Cilic is probably the most dangerous one for him. Cilic won a set against Nadal in 2019 and Thiem last year, he's always dangerous in NY.
Current Zverev shouldn't be bothered by Sinner, Shapopalov or PCB. Shapopalov hasn't won a match since Wimbledon, I'll be shocked if he makes the QF. PCB lost against the poorest version of Zverev last year in SF, how is he gonna win this one? Sinner in R4 is the biggest threat. Lost to him in RG last year and their Köln match was very close.
Tsitsipas has the toughest QF with Rublev, potentially Humbert in R4 and a tricky 1st round, but he should make it too.
Zverev has the toughest draw along with Titspas. I except Titsp to still make it to the SF (at least)- he will like the slower courts for his ROS.
Zedzilla will stumble before the SF I'm sure.
I agree and I hope you're right, but the flip side is a player needs just one tournament to spearhead a run (e.g. Novak and Davis Cup 2010). That's what me and @Djokovic_is_the_best#1 are worried about. And then from Novak's perspective, we haven't seen him play in a month, and the last time we did, he lost 10/11 games after being up a break in the 2nd. I'll probably be on edge until he [hopefully] looks like himself with no injuries.Bro - there is a STRONG recency bias. Don't let the last 2 tournaments from Zed fool you into thinking that he changed.
Remember Wimb - when he lost to FAA - in a match he should have won. Same in F.O.
Zed has done well in the past in smaller tournaments, only to flame out at slam level. His game goes under pressure.
Zverev does NOTHING at slam level. Let's have a friendly bet. He won't make the Semis. He will find a way to lose before getting to Novak.
In the other half, I see Titspas vs Med in the SF. Both are more consistent.
Yeah it’s all unknown to see what shape or form Novak will be in. We won’t know till we see in the opening round. Zverev is no doubt the man in form so right now is Novak’s greatest threat. I hoped he would be on the other side but it is what it is.I agree and I hope you're right, but the flip side is a player needs just one tournament to spearhead a run (e.g. Novak and Davis Cup 2010). That's what me and @Djokovic_is_the_best#1 are worried about. And then from Novak's perspective, we haven't seen him play in a month, and the last time we did, he lost 10/11 games after being up a break in the 2nd. I'll probably be on edge until he [hopefully] looks like himself with no injuries.
Lol he can only face 1 of them in Semis...not that tough. Its a easy route to SFs for himDjokovic's half includes Zverev, PCB, Shapo
I still don't agree that Zverev is the man in form and Novak's greatest threat. He just doesn't have the consistency. This is a strong recency bias. People forgot about how Zverev did at AO, F.O and Wimbledon and how he does in slams every year.Yeah it’s all unknown to see what shape or form Novak will be in. We won’t know till we see in the opening round. Zverev is no doubt the man in form so right now is Novak’s greatest threat. I hoped he would be on the other side but it is what it is.
I still don't agree that Zverev is the man in form and Novak's greatest threat. He just doesn't have the consistency. This is a strong recency bias. People forgot about how Zverev did at AO, F.O and Wimbledon and how he does in slams every year.
Instead everything is based on his Olympics and Cincy performance - where he was shaky as well especially in the latter. vs Titspas in Cincy - Zed could hardly hold a lead and choked repeatedly.
Again, Novak's biggest challenge among the current ATP will always be Medvedev. True Novak is favored against Med heavily, because the Russian lacks weapons. But the world #2 is by far the most consistent and deserving player in the draw right now to face Novak for the championship.
Overall, there is no one at Novak's level in the draw, assuming Novak is NOT injured. If Thiem were playing, I would have NOT said that. Since peak Thiem can give Novak some headache, as can peak Nadal. But both those guys are not playing.
We say that for Zverev every time he wins Masters or YEC/WTF.Yes, but confidence is essential for a player like Zverev who is prone to the yips. He has a lot of it right now, and it's quite possible it will carry over to the Slams, also. Think about where his head has been for most of this year.
So sick of crappy Struff/Djokovic matches, please no R2.
We say that for Zverev every time he wins Masters or YEC/WTF.
Fact is - there is recency bias.
How can we portray Zverev as Novak's BIGGEST THREAT when he hasn't done anything at slam level this year?
He's just won OG/CIncy - This kind of stuff he's done earlier - win BO3 matches. He hasn't shown the ability to play his best "CONSISTENTLY" in 7 best of 5 matches.
Excellent post. Agree 100%.Zed is something like 0-9 against Top 10. Will have to beat PCB and Shapo to get to SF. Probably will end that horrible losing streak but not a guarantee. He must still prove himself in 5 sets. Cincy is not a Slam. Tokyo is not a Slam. Sorry!
We say that for Zverev every time he wins Masters or YEC/WTF.
Fact is - there is recency bias.
How can we portray Zverev as Novak's BIGGEST THREAT when he hasn't done anything at slam level this year?
He's just won OG/CIncy - This kind of stuff he's done earlier - win BO3 matches. He hasn't shown the ability to play his best "CONSISTENTLY" in 7 best of 5 matches.
Zed is something like 0-9 against Top 10. Will have to beat PCB and Shapo to get to SF. Probably will end that horrible losing streak but not a guarantee. He must still prove himself in 5 sets. Cincy is not a Slam. Tokyo is not a Slam. Sorry!