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Legend
I firmly disagree.
Murray is a better player overall than Nishi (by a landslide), a much better slam player in general. Murray has 2 slam semis to his name at RG, Nishikori has zip (not even a quarter!), Murray has a much better serve (improved it a lot recently), Nishi is easier to break, Murray has better fitness in general, Murray has much more experience, Madrid does NOT play like hard. In 2009, the winner of Madrid also won RG.
Both can be dangerous on the day but I don't see a rationale to make Nishi a bigger threat at RG.
Murray might be a better player overall but Nishikori's clay game is better. Nishikori has a great five set record, his fitness is underrated, when he plays his best on clay his footwork and second serve are ahead of Murrays. Murray won two titles of faster clay that is clouding peoples judgement of his chances.
Nishikori lost in the first round last year but if he is a player that tends to improve in a tournament. I also don't agree that Murrays serve is much better.