I think with the No-Ad scoring UVA could be upset maybe in the QF and on, but if straight up scoring, then UVA would take with no issues. The no-ad scoring brings in some added luck into the equation
Perhaps you would care to explain why no ad scoring makes an upset by the underdog more likely than regular scoring. I tend to think the pressure will be on the underdog player and the opposite is true. Of course, maybe only 10% of the games go to deuce anyway, unless the players are very evenly matched and neither has a big serve, so 'no ad' will not really come into play all that often. In the quarters UVA will be a lot better team than any team we play. Maybe USC, UCLA, or UGA have a chance to beat us, but I see no one else with any chance.
BTW I much prefer the "one ad" scoring format meaning you have 40-40 and then one more deuce before one point decides it. It would not take much longer and it retains a little more tradition in scoring.