alinefx
Rookie
Since Alcaraz is being feted as the next ATG/Possible GOAT, gonna with 30+ slams etc, was wondering if recency bias plays a role as to what his REAL level is comparing him to the current GOAT as well as Fed. Looking at where he stands now wrt to Fedovic, he‘s a bit behind, but the only thing is he’s doing it at a younger age which might help in the long run, only if he keeps a Fed-Djoker like longevity going.
Both Fed and Alcaraz basically had/have pigeons (other than Nadal (then) and Djoker (now)) as “opposition”. Yet Carlos has won less and lost more matches than Fed did his first 20 months after “arriving” for REAL at the 2003 WTF and Djokovic’s insane 2011.
Fed: Jan 2004-Cinci 2005: 138-9, 93.8%, 20 Titles (won WTF going into 2004). Went on his first run 6 years after going pro.
Djokovic: Jan 2011- Cinci 2012: 124-16, 88.5%, 13 Titles (lost WTF SF in 2010). First run 8 years after going pro.
Alcaraz: Jan 2022-Cinci 2023: 110-19, 85.27%, 11 Titles (skipped WTF going into 2023). Current run 5 years after going pro.
Looks like ‘Raz has to level up big time just to match Djokovic and Federer at the same stage as they were when they broke out. He plays a harder style than Fed and Djoker, so he may have a Nadal like career if he doesn’t watch out, full of injuries. He’s already been injuring himself twice in matches this year with Djokovic alone, not to mention the cramps with Sinner at Miami. Fed/Djoker had near zero injuries (other than Djokovic exhaustion/some injury after USO 2011) through this time period. I think the only thing holding him back is inexperience, age and the need to play with more restraint/tactics and to manage himself a little better to avoid cramps as well as not always going for insane highlight reel shots like during the 3rd set yesterday.
Both Fed and Alcaraz basically had/have pigeons (other than Nadal (then) and Djoker (now)) as “opposition”. Yet Carlos has won less and lost more matches than Fed did his first 20 months after “arriving” for REAL at the 2003 WTF and Djokovic’s insane 2011.
Fed: Jan 2004-Cinci 2005: 138-9, 93.8%, 20 Titles (won WTF going into 2004). Went on his first run 6 years after going pro.
Djokovic: Jan 2011- Cinci 2012: 124-16, 88.5%, 13 Titles (lost WTF SF in 2010). First run 8 years after going pro.
Alcaraz: Jan 2022-Cinci 2023: 110-19, 85.27%, 11 Titles (skipped WTF going into 2023). Current run 5 years after going pro.
Looks like ‘Raz has to level up big time just to match Djokovic and Federer at the same stage as they were when they broke out. He plays a harder style than Fed and Djoker, so he may have a Nadal like career if he doesn’t watch out, full of injuries. He’s already been injuring himself twice in matches this year with Djokovic alone, not to mention the cramps with Sinner at Miami. Fed/Djoker had near zero injuries (other than Djokovic exhaustion/some injury after USO 2011) through this time period. I think the only thing holding him back is inexperience, age and the need to play with more restraint/tactics and to manage himself a little better to avoid cramps as well as not always going for insane highlight reel shots like during the 3rd set yesterday.
