Federer has practically secured YE#1

kevaninho

Hall of Fame
Actually he was playing just as well at the Olympics and USO last year. Or close. Still lost to Del Potro, Nishikori, and Pouille. He had very easy draws this year. Fed showed how easily a top player should beat Dimitrov.

No he wasn't playing just as well. Anyone can see theres a world of difference.
 

Federer and Del Potro

Bionic Poster
?? there are 9 events still to play in July alone. Assuming you mean just masters, Fed has skipped Canada 3 of the last 4. I do not see him playing all 4, USO, wtf & basel

Yeah just meant masters / biggest point events outside of the USO from now until the actual end of the year. I don't see him playing all 4 either but skipping half seemed like a break to me. Just semantics though really.
 

mike danny

Bionic Poster
A lot of it depends on the US open. If Federer wins that he will aim for the YE #1 , i think.
He'd even add more tournaments to his schedule. May be Paris, Shanghai. If Rafa wins that he'd play everything available probably.

Sent from my SM-G531H using Tapatalk
If Fed wins the USO too, something tragic has to happen for him not to be no.1 by default with 3 slams to Nadal's 1.
 

mike danny

Bionic Poster
On topic, I don't think Fed needs to be no.1 again. He is the best no.1 player already of the Open Era and Nadal is never going to catch his 302 weeks at no.1.

Fed has been ranked no.1 long enough. He now has to focus on adding more slams as long as he is still playing awesome.
 

Gary Duane

G.O.A.T.
You are probably right , I was thinking about that reduced schedule Fed has planned and forgot how it'd look 3 vs 1.
This place will be a war zone if that happens by some freak occurrence, lol.
Three this year would have been a freak occurrence at the beginning of the year, but with two already it is now a very reasonable possibility. ;)
 

sdont

Legend
Seems like others didn't get the lesson, "Federer has won every real tournament he has entered all year, and Nadal is his pigeon now."
Remind me, who is the leader of the race at the moment?

"he has entered" Thanks for bringing water to my mill.
 

xFullCourtTenniSx

Hall of Fame
I never said Nadal wouldn't have #1 at some point in the year. I just think he needs a few more wins than Nadal. Say Federer wins Cincinatti and Nadal loses in the QF. That's 720 points right there. Not that hard.

No, you didn't. But I just threw in more information to see the big picture that we might have the year where more people have had the #1 spot in a season than have had it for a long time. Or at the very least, it's been a long time where so many people had a legitimate look at the spot. YE #1 depends 100% on Federer's schedule. If he decides to push, it's his. If he's looking to save, it's far less likely, but still well within the realm of possibilities. For Rafa, he more or less just needs to show up and for YE#1 he just has to pray that Federer doesn't. This could very well be the most exciting year for the rankings in a long time. It's usually just been handoff. Last year at least had a nice setting where the winner of the last match of the year gets the top spot.
 

adil1972

Hall of Fame
jtTKja


federer 1111th win

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thankyou facebook
 
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Jackuar

Hall of Fame
While we speak of Fedals for No.1, there's another scenario shaping up - Novak losing his 4th by USO. That would mean tougher R16/QF, potentially with the top 4. :eek: :)
 
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Rafa the King

Hall of Fame
While we speak of Fedals for No.1, there's another scenario shaping up - Novak losing his 4th by USO. That would mean tougher RF16/QF, potentially with the top 4. :eek: :)

This, he is defending 1000 very cheap Canada points. Very likely to be #5 pre USO. Fed or Rafa QF :eek:
 

ANDYbhGENIUS

Professional
Because even in his more mediocre seasons, historically he's performed better than Nadal after Wimbledon.

Also because the only 2 times he didn't perform better than Nadal it was because Nadal won the US Open.

Also because Federer's record this year so far is 32-2 whereas Nadal's is 46-7. Federer has won every hard court tournament he's entered this year except for Dubai, and he loves to play Cincinatti and the WTF, so I see an easy 2500 points right there. Rafa, though, is less consistent at the end of the year and he's never won the WTF. I just see no outcome where Nadal ends as #1.

You too have your head way too deep/far up the stats "department" - with your logic prior to or even after the Australian Open you would have ridiculed someone who said Federer may be in contention for number One again. "Because the numbers and historical context do not support it", YET.

Djoker may be out for a while, so Nadal has good chances if he stays injury free, and also because he is much younger than Fed.
 

Jackuar

Hall of Fame
This, he is defending 1000 very cheap Canada points. Very likely to be #5 pre USO. Fed or Rafa QF :eek:
In current form, I wouldn't be surprised if he loses to anybody in the QF. But the Fedal matchup gives that additional incentive always. If any other those two manage to beat him once or twice, or even one each, we can see how he can bounce back from that back to back losses vs those two in terms of confidence. Its been quite a while since both Rafa/Fed beat him few times at a stretch. So far this year he's managed to escape them by losing earlier. But the HC is Novak's favourable surface, so we can expect him to still be in the draw up until QF.
 

Rago

Hall of Fame
I expect Federer to give it his absolute best at USO & WTF and target wins at Cincy and Basel also. Not sure about the rest of his schedule but I'd be happier if he reviews it again before the upcoming HC season and stays selective with participation.

Roger should skip Montreal so he doesn't feel fatigued by the time he reaches New York; maybe pass on Shanghai or Bercy as well if he wants to stay well rested for London.

That leaves us with him probably playing in the United States Outdoor and European Indoor Seasons.
 
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Neil_Fedfan

Rookie
This, he is defending 1000 very cheap Canada points. Very likely to be #5 pre USO. Fed or Rafa QF :eek:
As a Fed fan if he were to face Djokovic (or any other top player for the matter) I'd want him to face as early as possible in the tournament :p
But I doubt Djokovic will lose #5 by USO if he recovers from the elbow injury by the time Montreal comes around since he is just too good on HC (specially the slower ones) to be counted out.
 

KINGROGER

G.O.A.T.
If Fed wins USO and let's say Cincy too, he can probably afford a minimalist schedule post USO and coast to YE#1 with a Shanghai, Basel and WTF win/strong result.

If loses USO I imagine he would assess the rankings and then possibly go all out at Shanghai, Basel, Paris, WTF to get YE#1 as his last shot probably as can't see him sweeping everything but clay in 2018 like he has this year (think he will remain strong but not 2017 strong).
 

TripleATeam

G.O.A.T.
You too have your head way too deep/far up the stats "department" - with your logic prior to or even after the Australian Open you would have ridiculed someone who said Federer may be in contention for number One again. "Because the numbers and historical context do not support it", YET.

Djoker may be out for a while, so Nadal has good chances if he stays injury free, and also because he is much younger than Fed.
And I didn't- almost no one did. However, you can't deny that Federer is better than Nadal after Wimbledon. It's always been the case. Just check the amount of titles or runner ups each has at Cincinatti, US Open, Canada, Shanghai, WTF, and Paris. Federer has been better.

What do you want me to use instead of facts? Opinions? "Federer has practically secured YE#1 because I think he's great?"

No. All I have are facts, so that's all I can use.
 

BlackSilver

Semi-Pro
No only geniuses like you think that Nadal is anywhere close to his 2015-16 level. He is miles better

Geniuses like me watch what is going on between the four lines. And they realize the obvious thing: Nadal isn't playing anything special. He got a bunch of easy draws and took advantage of it. Three tournaments, got two easy draws. Nothing magical or miraculous, just some luck. Nothing special. On clay doesn't matter if he is playing better or not, because, you know, he won't be playing on clay in north america.

Now, geniuses like you don't care about what's going on between four lines. They care about results. And that's probably they can see what is going on between the four lines, but are not clever enough to interpret it.
 

kevaninho

Hall of Fame
A world? Then it shouldn't be difficult for you to show it. Clay doesn't count

So you cant see that his results in all masters and slams this year have been better than last year? Not to mention his actual play is a lot better. I don't need to try and 'show' anything. Ive watched him enough to know he was pathetic last year.
 

BlackSilver

Semi-Pro
So you cant see that his results in all masters and slams this year have been better than last year? Not to mention his actual play is a lot better. I don't need to try and 'show' anything. Ive watched him enough to know he was pathetic last year.

Yes, you DO have to show everything. The burden of the proof is on the one who made the statement.

I already countered this argument of results. Another poster did too. Keeping insisting on it won't make it valid all of sudden. Actual play argument is devoid of substance if you don't explain it.
 
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