every7
Hall of Fame
Peter Bodo is one of my favourite tennis essayists, so his annual off-season prediction article about tennis in the new year is always required reading for me.
He always has a few strange ideas because his predictions are so "out there" but the majority of his predictions are freakishly accurate despite seeming unlikely.
Here's the list for 2018 (with apologies to the Bodo haters out there - I know a lot of people don't like this guy lol)
** NOTE: Emojis in brackets are my additions and not the author
Crystal tennis ball says 2018 will be year of disruption
22 Nov, 2017
Peter Bodo
Here are five predictions for the coming year:
Grand Slams will produce four different champions (
)
Federer and Nadal divvied up the four major titles in 2017, but that's unlikely to happen again.
Face it, Federer is 36. He has a history of back trouble, which forced him to alter his schedule and pull out of a number of events this year. He'll take good care of himself, limit his appearances and have a few great runs (Wimbledon, anyone?). But the consistency he had in 2017 will be impossible to maintain.
With the elite ranks back at full strength and legitimate new major contenders emerging, it's hard to see Federer and Nadal repeating their exploits in 2018.
Murray will struggle ( )
Andy Murray is at a critical crossroads. Years of effort and frustration finally bore fruit in his remarkable 2016 season, when he locked down the year-end No.1 ranking in the final match of the ATP year. It had the feel of a career-capping performance.
Also, Murray is a two-time Wimbledon champ and two-time Olympic singles gold medalist. The 30-year-old Scot already is on the short list for being the greatest British athlete of all time. All of which suggests he might be done with the heavy lifting in his career. Another hint: He recently parted ways with the coach who engineered his greatest triumphs, Ivan Lendl.
Disrupters will threaten the status quo ( )
Goffin, who turns 27 in December, might not have enough weapons to win a Grand Slam in 2018, but he has shown that he can disrupt any draw. He and a number of other players in their mid-20s will make life very difficult for the marquee names, especially if the Grand Slams decide to cut back to 16 seeds (from the present 32).
Dimitrov, Jack Sock, Dominic Thiem, Kei Nishikori, Milos Raonic and others have all been held back by the Big Four and Stan Wawrinka. All of them have improved while patiently awaiting their turn.
Nishikori and Raonic, both Grand Slam finalists, missed a lot of tennis at the end of the year due to injuries. Expect both of them to mount a big push. Thiem, Alexander Zverev, Lucas Pouille and Nick Kyrgios are all 24 or under.
Djokovic will earn back the No. 1 ranking
If the Grand Slam titles are distributed among three or more players, consistency will be the key to becoming No. 1. Novak Djokovic, who's 30, knows what that takes. He might not even have to hit the stratospheric level of play that he tapped into in 2015 in order to fight back to the top.
Djokovic pulled the plug on 2017 during Wimbledon and ended the season at No. 12. He was mired in a slump and suffering from an elbow injury. It was the culmination of a period when he struggled with personal and motivational issues, as well as athletic setbacks. Djokovic will get plenty of help from someone who knows what he has been going through -- his coach and friend Andre Agassi.
Zverev will crack the Grand Slam code ( )
OK, it's ridiculous to criticize a 20-year-old who already is ranked No. 4 in the world and has won two Masters events (Rome and Montreal) with final-round wins over Djokovic and Federer. But Zverev had trouble hitting the high notes at the majors. His fourth-round loss at Wimbledon was his best effort; he lost in the first round at the French Open and won just one match while seeded No. 4 at the US Open.
You can bet Zverev and his team are disappointed and looking at the upcoming year's schedule with different perspectives. His rate of progress suggests that 2018 will be his Grand Slam breakthrough year.
He always has a few strange ideas because his predictions are so "out there" but the majority of his predictions are freakishly accurate despite seeming unlikely.
Here's the list for 2018 (with apologies to the Bodo haters out there - I know a lot of people don't like this guy lol)
** NOTE: Emojis in brackets are my additions and not the author
Crystal tennis ball says 2018 will be year of disruption
22 Nov, 2017
Peter Bodo
Here are five predictions for the coming year:
Grand Slams will produce four different champions (
)Federer and Nadal divvied up the four major titles in 2017, but that's unlikely to happen again.
Face it, Federer is 36. He has a history of back trouble, which forced him to alter his schedule and pull out of a number of events this year. He'll take good care of himself, limit his appearances and have a few great runs (Wimbledon, anyone?). But the consistency he had in 2017 will be impossible to maintain.
With the elite ranks back at full strength and legitimate new major contenders emerging, it's hard to see Federer and Nadal repeating their exploits in 2018.
Murray will struggle (
)Andy Murray is at a critical crossroads. Years of effort and frustration finally bore fruit in his remarkable 2016 season, when he locked down the year-end No.1 ranking in the final match of the ATP year. It had the feel of a career-capping performance.
Also, Murray is a two-time Wimbledon champ and two-time Olympic singles gold medalist. The 30-year-old Scot already is on the short list for being the greatest British athlete of all time. All of which suggests he might be done with the heavy lifting in his career. Another hint: He recently parted ways with the coach who engineered his greatest triumphs, Ivan Lendl.
Disrupters will threaten the status quo (
)Goffin, who turns 27 in December, might not have enough weapons to win a Grand Slam in 2018, but he has shown that he can disrupt any draw. He and a number of other players in their mid-20s will make life very difficult for the marquee names, especially if the Grand Slams decide to cut back to 16 seeds (from the present 32).
Dimitrov, Jack Sock, Dominic Thiem, Kei Nishikori, Milos Raonic and others have all been held back by the Big Four and Stan Wawrinka. All of them have improved while patiently awaiting their turn.
Nishikori and Raonic, both Grand Slam finalists, missed a lot of tennis at the end of the year due to injuries. Expect both of them to mount a big push. Thiem, Alexander Zverev, Lucas Pouille and Nick Kyrgios are all 24 or under.
Djokovic will earn back the No. 1 ranking
If the Grand Slam titles are distributed among three or more players, consistency will be the key to becoming No. 1. Novak Djokovic, who's 30, knows what that takes. He might not even have to hit the stratospheric level of play that he tapped into in 2015 in order to fight back to the top.
Djokovic pulled the plug on 2017 during Wimbledon and ended the season at No. 12. He was mired in a slump and suffering from an elbow injury. It was the culmination of a period when he struggled with personal and motivational issues, as well as athletic setbacks. Djokovic will get plenty of help from someone who knows what he has been going through -- his coach and friend Andre Agassi.
Zverev will crack the Grand Slam code (
)OK, it's ridiculous to criticize a 20-year-old who already is ranked No. 4 in the world and has won two Masters events (Rome and Montreal) with final-round wins over Djokovic and Federer. But Zverev had trouble hitting the high notes at the majors. His fourth-round loss at Wimbledon was his best effort; he lost in the first round at the French Open and won just one match while seeded No. 4 at the US Open.
You can bet Zverev and his team are disappointed and looking at the upcoming year's schedule with different perspectives. His rate of progress suggests that 2018 will be his Grand Slam breakthrough year.
