Really? 10-15% would be insanely bad. Do you have a link?
The latest issue of the Economist (Feb 29, page 8) says a rough estimate is 25-70% of an infected country may eventually contract the virus (depends on R, the effective reproductive rate of the virus, explained further on page 13 of the same issue). Many of those infections will be very mild or even asymptomatic, so it's not as dire as it sounds based on those percentages.
Basically, once it's in community spread mode (you don't know the source of the infections), it is apparently difficult to isolate oneself from it given our inter-connectedness.
For example, once China eases up on its draconian prevention methods, the virus is likely to re-circulate through the population, even re-entering from other countries...
It appears that the mortality is high for the elderly and much lower for children.
Stats out of Italy today give a mortality rate of 5%. No stats on distribution within that number or why it is so much higher than elsewhere. Next 2 weeks are going to be interesting with the rate of replication (frinstance 50 people in the UK 3 days ago has trebled to 180 today). UK gvt assuming a mortality rate of 2.5% on a worst case scenario, which is horrendous. More and more in London are wearing face masks - it’s like being part of a film you don’t want to pay for, but the mask wearers are still making me giggle at this stage: character in supermarket (Waitrose) tonight was wearing one with removable filters while sorting through the strawberries.
Anyone find it ironic NY has 33 cases, and the Flushing Meadows Park is named Corona Park?
That mortality vs age distribution seems amazing.
Considering how many people work and travel between China and Taiwan, it is impressive how the Taiwanese government was able to contain the spread there.
Why Taiwan Has Just 42 Coronavirus Cases while Neighbors Report Hundreds or Thousands
An early, effective anti-disease response has kept caseloads low in Taiwan while raising the president’s approval rating, analysts believewww.voanews.com
South Korea isn’t run by Trump, either, but they have had much more trouble containing it.Uh.. because those countries aren't run by Trump?
South Korea isn’t run by Trump, either, but they have had much more trouble containing it.
Taiwan’s early action seems to have made a difference. A lot of Chinese usually travel to Taiwan and vice versa.
What? It's nut to wear a mask during this time? Man, you're dim.But very handy for identifying the nutters on one’s commute.
YOu know that everyone else is working extra hard, taking all sorts of precaution for the "fearless" to stay fearless and healthy, right?Played matches today. Everyone was handshaking and business as usual.
Slap up meal prepared for afterwards. Did wash hands carefully though.
The generation who's parents were war babies will just shrug this off, or die off (in life we are in death - to quote one text), as they survived the cold war nuclear threat, no air bags and seat belts and 70's flares[emoji3]
Can't see much changing unless they are dropping like flies..
I love it. I wouldn't get offended in the slightest if someone refuses to shake my hand.For the OP, the Wuhan Shake
There are actually mask shortages now for healthcare workers. You need at minimum an n95 mask to filter the virus from what our hospital ID dept is saying. The blue masks won’t do anything aside from make you feel better mentally. A n95 or p100 mask is better
On the radio yesterday, one viral expert said that sanitizing doesn't really help guard against it, as it's viral and passed on in air-borne droplets which are inhaled.
your touching the same balls as infected person
tennis will make virus spread like wildfire.
A CNN story just now, March 9, talked about beds in certain temporary hospitals in China no longer being needed. ??
Recreational singles tennis is great sport for social distancing. The opponent is 78 feet away most of the time.
No more serve & volley due to social distancing.
Just don't touch your mouth, eyes, mucous membranes or your or anyone elses ****.When you strike a tennis ball, it knocks off a lot of dust, ball lint, clay dust if clay courts and other stuff on the ball. If you look at your opponent and the background is dark, say, the back curtain in an indoor court, you can often see a puff of dust. Once on a very dusty indoor court, I could see the puffs of dust on almost every impact. The puff of debris usually starts close and to your front. If virus is on the hands it might get on the ball and get into to the dust cloud. Cleaning hands seems important but breathing could also place some virus on balls. ?? Hold balls behind you.....
Protip: if you’re losing, start sniffing and coughing during the changeover.
I had a tournement this week, scheduled to play this evening, just heard that it will be canceled, damn.
Viruses are very strange. What are they thinking?!Can you speak more about how or why there is this new Covid-19 virus?
No, they mutate so they are always changing.Do you think viruses tend to be newly created or always exist in nature but only known to man now that he's infected?
Is this Nature's way of culling humans of the weak and old? Or at least a good reminder for everyone to shape up a little since we've been too slacking? Ie. Nature's way of telling us to take better care of ourselves.
Agree, I always start with my health problems by getting very upset and fearing the worst of what might happen. And then I wind up also very interested. When you better understand the injury or disease and what you might do about it, it's a lot less stressful.So interesting when I think about these topics.
Or perhaps lucky for you, depending on how you look at it.
In my country it is getting out of control now.
Country, Other | Total Cases | New Cases | Total Deaths | New Deaths | Total Recovered | Active Cases | Serious, Critical | Tot Cases/ 1M pop |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
China | 80,761 | +26 | 3,136 | +17 | 60,115 | 17,510 | 4,794 | 56.1 |
Italy | 10,149 | +977 | 631 | +168 | 1,004 | 8,514 | 877 | 167.9 |
Iran | 8,042 | +881 | 291 | +54 | 2,731 | 5,020 | 95.7 | |
S. Korea | 7,513 | +35 | 58 | +5 | 247 | 7,208 | 54 | 146.5 |
France | 1,784 | +372 | 33 | +3 | 12 | 1,739 | 86 | 27.3 |
Spain | 1,690 | +459 | 35 | +5 | 135 | 1,520 | 101 | 36.1 |
Germany | 1,458 | +234 | 2 | 18 | 1,438 | 9 | 17.4 | |
USA | 886 | +182 | 28 | +2 | 15 | 843 | 8 | 2.7 |
I guess some of my more philosophical questions escaped your comprehension.Viruses are very strange. What are they thinking?!
No, they mutate so they are always changing.
Look at the very young and the young adult death rates for the 1918-1919 Influenza Pandemic. Culling who?
Now look at the very young and young adult death rate for the Covid 19 Pandemic.
Agree, I always start with my health problems by getting very upset and fearing the worst of what might happen. And then I wind up also very interested. When you better understand the injury or disease and what you might do about it, it's a lot less stressful.