The downfall of Thiem really puts the brilliance of Del Potro into perpective

How many Slams would Del Potro have won if he didn't have chronic injuries?

  • 1

    Votes: 3 5.1%
  • 2

    Votes: 9 15.3%
  • 3

    Votes: 20 33.9%
  • 4

    Votes: 12 20.3%
  • 5+

    Votes: 15 25.4%

  • Total voters
    59

CHillTennis

Hall of Fame
As I remember, Del Potro was healthy in 2013 (in fact it was one of his better years), yet lost to Hewitt in the second round. I would say it's safe to say he wasn't beating Nadal or Djokovic in this tournament.

I don't even need to mention USO 2018 in order to claim his head to head against Djokovic is totally one sided. I don't care how many times their matches looked close, what matters is that Djokovic always wins in the end. It's like the Federer-Wawrinka matchup, where you knew 99% of the time who would win it, doesn't matter how "close" it looked. So if Djokovic beat Wawrinka in USO 2013 semifinal, surely I would expect him to beat Del Potro, even if it would take 5 sets.

RG 2015 is just not serious to even discuss. He would need someone to take Djokovic out for him, and even if that somehow happened, I wouldn't favor him against Wawrinka. And most likely, he just loses to someone of Hewitt's level in an early round again. One pretty strong run in 2009 (and even there he ended losing the last two sets 6-1 6-4) doesn't make him some beast on clay.

He lost a year out of his career due to the first wrist injury that he sustained in 2010.

In my opinion, he was never the same.

Even during that period of time when he was playing well in 2013.

It wasn't the same level as his 2009 US Open.
 

RS

Bionic Poster
Is anyone venturing into the 7-10 range?

Since 1/3 of the votes are 5 and over but that could mean 5-6.
 

DSH

Talk Tennis Guru
That serve and MONSTER forehand plus the mental toughness to win his first major final (against Federer in 5 sets no less), would have been enough to win several majors.

This guy is a true example of a great career derailed by injury.
He is, along with Nadal, the only ones to beat prime Federer in a Grand Slam final.
:cool:
 

DSH

Talk Tennis Guru
Del Potro beat Nadal 3 times in 2009 on hardcourt: Miami, Canada and USO. Nadal may not have been at his best in the USO match, but clearly it was going to be an uphill battle with Del Potro in that form. There simply is no denying how impressive Del Potro's 2009 USO run was, especially beating that version of Federer.
Nadal had an abdominal tear at that US Open.
If you watched that tournament, you would have noticed the reduced speed of the Spanish player's serves, especially against Del Potro.
I do not deny that a Nadal in better physical condition would also have lost against the Argentine player, but in no way how it ended up happening.
:D
 

fedfan24

Hall of Fame
If we go up to 2020 age 31/32 hypothetical non injured he had chances at
15/16 rg
16/18/19 w
14/16/17/18/19 uso

Realistically could win 4-5 if he’s lucky, more likely 3 time winner
 

RS

Bionic Poster
Who played at a higher level?

1. Del Potro RG 09 SF or Djokovic AO 19 final
2. Federer RG 09 SF or Djokovic AO 13 4R
3. Djokovic Wim 13 SF or Del Potro USO 09 final
4. Djokovic RG 12 final or Federer USO 09 final
5. Djokovic RG 08 SF or Hewitt USO 05 SF
 

Quaichang

Semi-Pro
Unfortunately after struggling with a wrist injury, Thiem looks done and I'm sad to say I've given up on him coming back to the top of the game. I didn't expect such a swift downfall after how good he was for for about 5 years, from 2016-2020.

Then we see Del Potro who had at least 8 surgeries on his wrists and knees and how he came back at least twice to reach the top of the game after severe injuries.

  • 2010 - Has 1st surgery on right wrist after the AO
    • Ends 2010 ranked #258 in the world, comes back in 2011 and has decent season and ends 2012 ranked in the top 10 and 2013 ranked in the top 5
    • Has good Slam runs including the 2013 Wimbledon SF and deep runs in ATP Finals and Masters tournaments.
    • Wins bronze medal at the 2012 Olympics.

  • 2014, 2015 - Has 3 surgeries on left right wrist in these two years
    • Tries to come back in 2015 but only briefly and had to have another surgery. He was gone for 2 years from the game drops out of the top 500.
    • Comes back in mid 2016 and wins silver at the Olympics and helps Argentina win Davis Cup. Makes the QF of the USO.
    • Has an even better 2017 and 2018, makes the final of the USO in 2018, 2 other SFs of Slams in 2017 and 2018, and wins his 1st Masters title at 2018 IW. Ends 2018 ranked in the top 5.

  • 2019-2021 - Has 4 right knee surgeries
    • Comes back briefly in 2019 and makes QF of Rome and almost upsets Djokovic. Makes the 4th round of RG.
    • Knee injuries take him out the game and he didn't play another match for 3 years, which was one match at 2022 Buenos Aires

Seems he would achieved quite a bit more if it weren't for injuries and his ability to come back to the top twice shows how great he was.
The difference is Delpo still had his two big weapons, serve and forehand, after the surgeries. On the bh he was slicing more which the top players could exploit. Thiem’s forehand is about 80% of what is was at his peak. I think that has played with his mind knowing that he can’t count on it to finish points. Thiem’s bh looks great.
 

Oldbaby

New User
Once again, Thiem was playing just as badly for some time before he injured his wrist

Don't really think the wrist has much to do with it
 

TheRed

Hall of Fame
Thiem hits harder than Del Potro (in terms of both topspin + pace) and that too with one hand, no wonder he's going to get injured.
Thiem does not hit harder than Del Potro. His swing is wilder but Del Potro's forehand is leagues ahead of Thiem's in power. Thiem's forehand has never impressed me. He doesn't create angles well, partly because he stands so far back and his wild swing doesn't produce all that scary of a forehand most of the time. But BH side, yes, Thiem hits harder. I don't think it's so obvious, based on swing alone, why one athlete gets hurt but another doesn't. Del Potro was actually hurting his left wrist, which theoretically shouldn't be subjected to that much strain because you have the help of another hand and his backhand isn't some violent swing.
 

NoleFam

Bionic Poster
The difference is Delpo still had his two big weapons, serve and forehand, after the surgeries. On the bh he was slicing more which the top players could exploit. Thiem’s forehand is about 80% of what is was at his peak. I think that has played with his mind knowing that he can’t count on it to finish points. Thiem’s bh looks great.
Agreed on Del Potro but I would say Thiem's forehand is less than 80% of what it was.
 

NoleFam

Bionic Poster
Thiem does not hit harder than Del Potro. His swing is wilder but Del Potro's forehand is leagues ahead of Thiem's in power. Thiem's forehand has never impressed me. He doesn't create angles well, partly because he stands so far back and his wild swing doesn't produce all that scary of a forehand most of the time. But BH side, yes, Thiem hits harder. I don't think it's so obvious, based on swing alone, why one athlete gets hurt but another doesn't. Del Potro was actually hurting his left wrist, which theoretically shouldn't be subjected to that much strain because you have the help of another hand and his backhand isn't some violent swing.
I don't know about that. Thiem's forehand was huge when he was at his best and he was pound for pound the hardest hitter on tour for a while. He could average above 80 mph on the forehand and backhand.
 

Silverbullet96

Hall of Fame
Thiem does not hit harder than Del Potro. His swing is wilder but Del Potro's forehand is leagues ahead of Thiem's in power.
I think you might be talking just in terms of pace, which Del Potro might be ahead in. But I believe that's because Del Potro hits a significantly flatter ball than Thiem, not because he "hits harder", if that makes sense. Thiem aside from generating a lot of pace, generates very close to Nadal level of topspin, which I feel takes more power in your stroke than what Del Potro does. It's just my theory.
VLDzM3e.jpeg
 
D

Deleted member 779124

Guest
I think at some point he would likely decline anyway and several players would still be a threat anyway but he had among the worst luck among top players and kept making comebacks so no reason to believe he couldn't have done at least a bit better otherwise.

I will vote 3 slams.
 

TheRed

Hall of Fame
I think you might be talking just in terms of pace, which Del Potro might be ahead in. But I believe that's because Del Potro hits a significantly flatter ball than Thiem, not because he "hits harder", if that makes sense. Thiem aside from generating a lot of pace, generates very close to Nadal level of topspin, which I feel takes more power in your stroke than what Del Potro does. It's just my theory.
VLDzM3e.jpeg
I won't dispute your numbers but I found Del Potro's power so much more effective. The minute he got a forehand, he put his opponents on the defensive. Thiem needs many shots to start getting ahead, but at the same time, he wasn't using his spin to create angles like Nadal. And he stood so far back that most of his forehands weren't that punishing by the time it got over the net.
 

Olli Jokinen

Hall of Fame
Delpo is a different level than Nishokori, Thiem, etc

Pretty sure he would have had a better career than Murray and Stan, if not for injuries. He was a big threat on HC and could play on clay and grass as well.
I'm pretty surprised by Delpo having Thiem's number like that. 4-0 i H2H. For some reason I haven't seen so many Delpo games, just remember his awesome forehand.
 

-snake-

Hall of Fame
Thiem couldn't even beat a Moutet with no topspin BH in a challenger event.


It's lol worthy how the TTW experts can't see this. He turned into Jack Sock after 2013 and they were expecting him to tear it up and wipe the floor with Djoeko on a regular basis.
 

nolefam_2024

Talk Tennis Guru
Thiem gets overrated for taking down Nole and Rafa.

First he never took them in their favorite surfaces. Nole beat him AO and Rafa in RG. He beat wrong guy at the wrong time.

Second apart from a few victories over big 2 he always flopped in big matches. Roger is very old for him so he won a IW over Roger and that too Roger choked.

Then Thiem won the most asterisked open which needed a massive choke from Zverev.

People do overrate him.
 

Phenomenal

Professional
Thiem gets overrated for taking down Nole and Rafa.

First he never took them in their favorite surfaces. Nole beat him AO and Rafa in RG. He beat wrong guy at the wrong time.

Second apart from a few victories over big 2 he always flopped in big matches. Roger is very old for him so he won a IW over Roger and that too Roger choked.

Then Thiem won the most asterisked open which needed a massive choke from Zverev.

People do overrate him.
Who beat them at their slam? Nadal only lost 3 match at RG. Djokovic didn't lose much either at AO.

Against Nadal/Djokovic Thiem did much better than Med,Tsi,Zverev. Although he had some bad losses it's mostly BO3. He was really good at slams.

At the time Med,Tsi,Zverev was young but now? Do they did as good as Thiem? Not even close.
 

tex123

Hall of Fame
Umm I'm not sure. AFAIK Delpo injury affected his backhand mostly. Thiem's injury affected his forehand. Not the same thing.

I know wrist is wrist but Delpo protected his backhand a lot which leads me to believe that he was hampered on that shot.

Delpo can slice all day long. Thiem is a good slicer but it looks more manufactured.
 

Quaichang

Semi-Pro
Thiem gets overrated for taking down Nole and Rafa.

First he never took them in their favorite surfaces. Nole beat him AO and Rafa in RG. He beat wrong guy at the wrong time.

Second apart from a few victories over big 2 he always flopped in big matches. Roger is very old for him so he won a IW over Roger and that too Roger choked.

Then Thiem won the most asterisked open which needed a massive choke from Zverev.

People do overrate him.
Don’t care if it’s not their favorite surface you got to give him credit for beating Rafa and Novak in a major. He came very close to beating Novak at the AO in 2020.
 

nolefam_2024

Talk Tennis Guru
Don’t care if it’s not their favorite surface you got to give him credit for beating Rafa and Novak in a major. He came very close to beating Novak at the AO in 2020.
But he is all time big tournament choker. Don't trust him.
2 blown ATP finals
3 slam finals
2/3 masters finals

He would always fall in big finals and didn't need big 3. He was beaten by Zverev Medvedev and Tsitsipas. All 3 younger than him.
 

Quaichang

Semi-Pro
But he is all time big tournament choker. Don't trust him.
2 blown ATP finals
3 slam finals
2/3 masters finals

He would always fall in big finals and didn't need big 3. He was beaten by Zverev Medvedev and Tsitsipas. All 3 younger than him.
He didn’t choke those FO finals to Rafa. Just beaten by a superior player. You can make the case at the AO final where he was up 2 sets to 1.
 

nolefam_2024

Talk Tennis Guru
I'm telling you he wasn't. He was in the Murray tier.

delPo should've won more than one slam, even in that era, but anything more than Murray is a big stretch.
Murray is amazing when compared to Delpo. Need to stop overrating out of SYMPATHY.
 

TheRed

Hall of Fame
He didn’t choke those FO finals to Rafa. Just beaten by a superior player. You can make the case at the AO final where he was up 2 sets to 1.
I'm with you on this. I don't find him to be a choker but he wasn't necessarily clutch either. To me, Thiem is the modern day Muster, and not just because he's Austrian. He didn't have the big serve to get easy points and had to wear down his opponents. He didn't have the weapons and accuracy to win easy against Tier 2 players like Gasquet, Tsongas and Ferrer and against the Big 3, he had to be humming on all cylinders to compete against them. It's just very hard to keep that up. Nadal's game isn't fundamentally better in most respects but Nadal's forehand was much more dangerous, capable of jerking even Djokovic around and hitting winners and Nadal is so much better at coming forward and finishing a point off at the net. And we're not even talking about tennis smarts - Thiem wasn't an idiot on the court but he wasn't a creative genius either.
In the end (and I think we're nearing the end of his career), his style of play leads to burnout. Delpo had that forehand that even the Big 3 had to fear. If Delpo had a slightly bigger serve or was a better mover (not bad for his size but he isn't fast), he could have sneaked in another 2-3 slams.
 

NoleFam

Bionic Poster
But he is all time big tournament choker. Don't trust him.
2 blown ATP finals
3 slam finals
2/3 masters finals

He would always fall in big finals and didn't need big 3. He was beaten by Zverev Medvedev and Tsitsipas. All 3 younger than him.
He honestly didn't choke in those ATP Finals though. He was just very unlucky and got slightly outplayed both times. Both Tsistipas and Medvedev played at high levels to win. He severely underperformed in Masters finals though except the one he won, and didn't play well in the USO final although he won. Best level he probably ever played on hardcourt though was at the 2020 AO.
 
Yeah Del Po's an amazing talent and his ability to come back was exceptional. After most of Golden Gen + Fed were so good at recovery we forgot that for many players are never the same after serious injuries. Guys like Hewitt and Safin were massively derailed and that's been happening again recently with guys like Thiem, Raonic, Nishikori, and potentially Zverev too.

I think Thiem and Zverev are slightly different cases to Raonic and Nishikori. The former two are generally quite fit players who got a serious injury. Sure, Thiem's (at least) is linked to his playing style. But I don't think that either of them was especially someone who always tended to be injury-prone. Raonic and Nishikori, on the other hand, were always struggling with niggling injury after niggling injury. Del Potro probably fits both moulds: he was always injury-prone and he picked up a couple of very serious injuries.
 

CoolCoolCool

Hall of Fame
I'm telling you he wasn't. He was in the Murray tier.

delPo should've won more than one slam, even in that era, but anything more than Murray is a big stretch.
It's not. He made it so hard to win against him, pushing the big 3 very hard multiple times despite all his injuries that made him weaker. Beating prime Rog in a slam final, also. He had room to grow and reach their level on paper, but injuries kept him from doing it.
 

-snake-

Hall of Fame
Murray is amazing when compared to Delpo. Need to stop overrating out of SYMPATHY.


Murray only has ONE more worth mentioning slam than DP, that's his whole career as far as majors are concerned. Despite being healthy for like 5 years straight, he only won that extra title thanks to Fedr and Ned getting knocked out early. Don't overhype him just because Nole was MUG enough to lose two slam finals to him. That's all on Novak.
 

nolefam_2024

Talk Tennis Guru
Murray only has ONE more worth mentioning slam than DP, that's his whole career as far as majors are concerned. Despite being healthy for like 5 years straight, he only won that extra title thanks to Fedr and Ned getting knocked out early. Don't overhype him just because Nole was MUG enough to lose two slam finals to him. That's all on Novak.
Murray kept going at it. I wouldn't discount his Wimbledon 2016 title. He was in finals of AO2016, RG2016 (huge for him) and Wimby 2016. 3 slam finals in a row. He was going to win somewhere at the end. Delpo had not even won a masters 1000 title till 2018. 1 slam at age 19. I don't understand the obsession with Delpo.
 

-snake-

Hall of Fame
Murray kept going at it. I wouldn't discount his Wimbledon 2016 title. He was in finals of AO2016, RG2016 (huge for him) and Wimby 2016. 3 slam finals in a row. He was going to win somewhere at the end. Delpo had not even won a masters 1000 title till 2018. 1 slam at age 19. I don't understand the obsession with Delpo.


His 2016 run was a joke with a useless clown like RaoMUG in the final, why did you bring that up? :p

DP was already Jack Sock by that time, which part of not having a BH you do not understand? That's the reason why Tsonga never won a slam. Ooooh Merry reached the AO final! Good for him, too bad he lost it as usual. 5 years of healthy tennis and all he could get was a dozen of runner up plates and a couple of slams when Fedal wasn't around. Far from being the legendary superior player you're making him out o be. Again, Nole made him relevant, Fedal would've taken care of him as usual.
 

NoleFam

Bionic Poster
His 2016 run was a joke with a useless clown like RaoMUG in the final, why did you bring that up? :p

DP was already Jack Sock by that time, which part of not having a BH you do not understand? That's the reason why Tsonga never won a slam. Ooooh Merry reached the AO final! Good for him, too bad he lost it as usual. 5 years of healthy tennis and all he could get was a dozen of runner up plates and a couple of slams when Fedal wasn't around. Far from being the legendary superior player you're making him out o be. Again, Nole made him relevant, Fedal would've taken care of him as usual.
Beating Kyrgios ->Tsonga -> Berdych -> Raonic on grass is a respectable draw to me. Not terribly difficult but not bad.
 

nolefam_2024

Talk Tennis Guru
His 2016 run was a joke with a useless clown like RaoMUG in the final, why did you bring that up? :p

DP was already Jack Sock by that time, which part of not having a BH you do not understand? That's the reason why Tsonga never won a slam. Ooooh Merry reached the AO final! Good for him, too bad he lost it as usual. 5 years of healthy tennis and all he could get was a dozen of runner up plates and a couple of slams when Fedal wasn't around. Far from being the legendary superior player you're making him out o be. Again, Nole made him relevant, Fedal would've taken care of him as usual.
I don't think he is legendary player. He is legendary in comparison to Del Potro. Murray who isn't the ATG, even he is much better than Delpo.
 

NoleFam

Bionic Poster
No top 2 player in sight.

NK: Clown

Tsonga: No BH and past his prime

RaoMUG: lol
4 top 20 players though and 2 top 10. Probably was Tsonga's last hurrah and last year he was in his prime, and he pushed Murray to 5. Raonic had McEnroe coaching him that tournament and it's the best he ever played on grass. Respectable imo. Of course, it wasn't a really hard draw and he got some luck he didn't have to face Federer or Djokovic but they have easier Slams as well so I guess he deserved one too.
 

-snake-

Hall of Fame
4 top 20 players though and 2 top 10. Probably was Tsonga's last hurrah and last year he was in his prime, and he pushed Murray to 5. Raonic had McEnroe coaching him that tournament and it's the best he ever played on grass. Respectable imo. Of course, it wasn't a really hard draw and he got some luck he didn't have to face Federer or Djokovic but they have easier Slams as well so I guess he deserved one too.


Ohh come on, no Fedalovic is as easy as it gets.
 

TheRed

Hall of Fame
I think you might be talking just in terms of pace, which Del Potro might be ahead in. But I believe that's because Del Potro hits a significantly flatter ball than Thiem, not because he "hits harder", if that makes sense. Thiem aside from generating a lot of pace, generates very close to Nadal level of topspin, which I feel takes more power in your stroke than what Del Potro does. It's just my theory.
VLDzM3e.jpeg
I went back and watched a few Del Potro matches, a few Thiem matches and matches of them playing each other. One thing the numbers don't show is that Del Potro, especially on the forehand side, consistently hit much much deeper than Thiem. Thiem's forehand frequently landed 2-3 feet past the service line while Del Potro was within a foot of the baseline on nearly every shot. When you consider the fact that balls slow down considerably after hitting the ground, it's easy to see why Del Potro had a much more intimidating forehand.
 
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