2018 Wimbledon SF: [2] Nadal vs. [12] Djokovic

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FreeBird

Legend
Who will win by the way?

I think Djokovic in 5. :p

Whatsup man?

Freebird!!!!!! Hello my long lost old friend good to see you!

Good to see you too. Much more active than me. How is life treating you? Still doing some coding job or switched?

I am referring mainly to him being the best big match player. Sure he has lost a couple of epics to the Pouilles and Fogs of this world, but Nadal in the business end of a slam losing a slam epic in five sets, especially to the two guys who were his so called slam pigeons, since I would read 9-2 or 9-3 a lot, is quite sobering. It's not like his opponents were significantly younger than him.

2013 Djokovic was peak. Djokovic was peak from 2011-2016.

Let's just see how their forms both look prior to the USO and at the start of the USO and see how their draws look.

If Djokovic wins today, I expect him to get the confidence he needs to be a contender at USO. If Djoko and Nadal play at USO, it all really depends in what state Novak is. If he is playing well or not. So it's depending on that.
Djokovic is not totally back yet, and Nadal will be a big favorite

Rafaelito in 4

The royals have arrived. Rafa has to play better now.

Good stuff. USO would be very interesting.

The Fedal alternating slam race has paused after 18 months.

Try everything to win, he might do that anyway but I think mentally it can give anyone an edge to have a goal in sight. "Smell blood"

Anyways, I still give the nod to Novak. Slightly. The cool weather will help and if the roof is up that will help even more.
Nole has the better game, but Nadal has the better mind... Tough call but Nadal in 5
Hola.
 
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alexio

G.O.A.T.
He had only 1 day of rest at the AO 2017 and also just 1 day of rest at Wimb 2018. I heard that excuse so many times but no word from the same customers after Nadal has just played 5 hours with Djokovic after having played 5 hours with Delpo with only 1 day of rest. :D
look deeper)) at AO 2017 it was hard court which hurts his body more than playing on grass and on grass game going quicker., and how many hours nadal spent before that final vs fed i guess much more that was able to accumulate bigger fatique than it was when he was playing vs djoko in recent SF at wimby, maybe that's wy rafa looked so fresh in this match
 

cc0509

Talk Tennis Guru
Federer never displayed the same kind of stamina that Nadal displayed at Wimb this year. At 31, Fed had nothing left in the tank in the Olympics final after playing 4.5 hours against Delpo, while Nadal at 32 had no problems playing 5 hours against Djokovic after having already played 5 hours against Delpo.

Nadal is a more impressive physical specimen than Federer is, I agree. But even knowing that, he's human and clearly reached his limit after 12 hours of play. You could see he was exhausted in the middle of the fifth set and had reached his end. Advantage, Djokovic. There's no question that Djokovic had more advantages in this match--indoor play and Nadal's 12 hours being the biggest ones. To deny that is ridiculous IMO.

Believe me, if Djokovic happens by some miracle to lose to Anderson in the final, you watch how quickly these same Djokovic fanatics who are claiming Nadal's 12 hours on court made no difference will start posting how Djokovic's SF after five hours and two days is the factor in the result(despite the fact that Giant Anderson had an over six hour SF and is probably worse for wear) Most fans are hypocrites. At the end of the day, all players have to deal with conditions which may favor them or may not favor them and they make a difference but what matters more is who wins. This time Djokovic got the job done. The end.
 

albertobra

Hall of Fame
So many good posts, Hitman and others excelent analysis.
The only thing I didn't like of the match was that at the come back the next day, the match didn't follow the quality of the night before. I was waiting for a more spectacular match in the last 2 sets. The match kind of lost a bit of intensity and became more tactical. The third set was one of the most incredible I have ever seen, with a TB that was a cherry on the cake.
 

The_Order

G.O.A.T.
If it stays at 3. Fed might shut the door on his again at some point.

Not so sure this time. Ever since WIM12, I was sure Fed was going to make another surge at some point and win another major or 2. He won 3 which is an incredible effort at his age. But father time waits for no man. I feel like he got lucky with the draw at the AO this year and still only barely managed to beat Cilic.

This year at Wimbledon, his draw was even easier than the AO. He was fresh from having not played the clay season and showed glimpses of his usual unplayable self on grass. BUT he also showed glimpses that he is not able to keep it going for a full match anymore. His form in Halle was a sign that he was feeling pressure of expectations. Then at WIM, he seemed to have got himself together until KA started playing out of his mind tennis to turn the match around. Once it became a war of attrition, Fed battled on but was always looking like he was going to lose that fifth set.

By the time the US Open starts he'll officially be 37 years old. With Nadal in the form that he's in and Novak making a resurgence as well as Del Potro (let's not forget about him) and KA looming as a threat in majors now too, it's going to take a mighty effort to win majors from now until he retires, and it's only going to get tougher as the months roll on...
 

73west

Semi-Pro
Not a given for Fed, but people saying Fed wouldn't have won a set against either Nadal or Djokovic are delusional. He won a set against 2015 Djokovic who was much better than this Djokovic.

Amen. It feels like since he lost to Anderson, people have decided he was playing crap tennis. Nadal and Djokovic played great. Mismatch. But Federer is still capable of playing (and at times this tournament did play) some sublime grass court tennis. What is fading for him is the ability to do it match in and match out, set in and set out.

I think 4 times in 2017-2018 he has had match point and lost. A couple more matches where he's been up a set (in BO3) and lost. Stamina, age, consistency ... but for a given match, he can still come out and play some of the best tennis the tour has to offer.
 

73west

Semi-Pro
I think fatigue also kicked in because Nadal was serving behind in the fifth and the serve, all said and done, is not his forte. As it weakened, he came under a double whammy of pressure. Serving behind because every bad service game from 4-5 would potentially be the end of the match and also because his weakness was going into Nole's strength. The return pressure ultimately got to Nadal.

The way those two were playing, I felt that serving the 5-5 6-6 game was a huge edge. If Nadal had broken Djokovic, Djokovic would have had 1 chance to find every reserve of energy and fight back to even it with a break. Both players had shown those bursts where they were capable of even better than they had shown.
 

a10best

Hall of Fame
That 3rd set TB and 5th 15-40 break points on Novak's serve should have been his. He did not execute a routine forehand volley (popped it up) in the TB.
 

73west

Semi-Pro
Just be happy about the win, but don't go exaggerating things. To me, it doesn't mean Djokovic owns Nadal at off clay slams. They're pretty even as far as that goes. They'll surely have more tough battles where Nadal will get him. You can be sure about that.

They are pretty even and played pretty even. The reason to install Djokovic as a favorite over Nadal at USO, if they are both healthy, is trends. Djokovic has won the last 7 HC meetings, and he has won 4 of the last 5 non-clay major matchups. The reason to question the value of that is that Nadal is playing better than at any time since 2013.
 

Meles

Bionic Poster
There's a lot of different people destroying computers at your place isn't there :D
Not at all
KANDYMAN.jpg
 

tenisdecente

Hall of Fame
Depends if you consider legacy to be just about crude numbers. He just took part in one of the greatest grasscourt matches in recent memory. Of course a guy like Nadal is all about winning at the end of the day but this is one of those matches that won't be forgotten.

He might also draw from this experience to contend at Wimbledon for the next several years too. This run was no fluke, he was serving very smart this year and had great success coming-in, I can't remember any slam where he was so good at the net. It's almost like he cracked the puzzle of how to compete on grass in his advanced tennis years when he lost a bit of that speed and athleticism.

I agree with the tennis part about Nadal - he played not only aggresively, but with good tactics and at a high level at the net. However, it is a conjecture how good he can be next years - he will be 33 years old in 2019, this was a huge chance wasted, seeing that the final is basically a WO. I am not sure how much speed he has lost, in this Wimbledon he looked fast as a muscle car. After 30 years, you cannot take anything for granted, specially for Nadal in grass. Clay, however.... :D

And I have to disagree about being in a great match adding to his legacy - with that premise, I assume AO 2009 adds to Federer legacy, when in fact for me takes from it legacy, and a lot. Same with Wimbledon 2008. I consider IMO even worse losing to Djokovic because he is part of his era - at least Fed is older than Nadal. These things take, not add, in his bid for the GOAT title. Legacy is for me, as you said, the numbers and the titles. At the end, it is a loss, he is not Anderson who would be fine with a SF loss at Wimbledon, he is an ATG trying to achieve the GOAT status. And you are right -. this match wont be forgotten, as well AO 2009 or WB 2008, but I dont think it is good to remember tight matches you lost, specially when you had plenty of chances like yesterday.
 

DRII

G.O.A.T.
Nadal played his best tennis and still couldn't beat a Novak who didn't play his best tennis.

And he hasn't beaten Fedovic in slams in 4 years.
if you think that was Nadal's best tennis, you have little judgement.

Nadal's best means very few free points for his opponent! that didn't happen in his semifinal. his offense and aggressiveness was very good, but he made way too many UEs.

don't forget it!
 

BlueB

Legend
if you think that was Nadal's best tennis, you have little judgement.

Nadal's best means very few free points for his opponent! that didn't happen in his semifinal. his offense and aggressiveness was very good, but he made way too many UEs.

don't forget it!
Nadal said it himself, do not forget it.

Sent from my SM-G965W using Tapatalk
 

Dolgopolov85

G.O.A.T.
I agree with the tennis part about Nadal - he played not only aggresively, but with good tactics and at a high level at the net. However, it is a conjecture how good he can be next years - he will be 33 years old in 2019, this was a huge chance wasted, seeing that the final is basically a WO. I am not sure how much speed he has lost, in this Wimbledon he looked fast as a muscle car. After 30 years, you cannot take anything for granted, specially for Nadal in grass. Clay, however.... :D

And I have to disagree about being in a great match adding to his legacy - with that premise, I assume AO 2009 adds to Federer legacy, when in fact for me takes from it legacy, and a lot. Same with Wimbledon 2008. I consider IMO even worse losing to Djokovic because he is part of his era - at least Fed is older than Nadal. These things take, not add, in his bid for the GOAT title. Legacy is for me, as you said, the numbers and the titles. At the end, it is a loss, he is not Anderson who would be fine with a SF loss at Wimbledon, he is an ATG trying to achieve the GOAT status. And you are right -. this match wont be forgotten, as well AO 2009 or WB 2008, but I dont think it is good to remember tight matches you lost, specially when you had plenty of chances like yesterday.

If you take W 08 and A 09 in conjunction with AO 17, they do in totality add to the legacy of both Fed and Nadal. I'd add W 07 too to get the full picture. Nadal catching up, passing Fed, beating him again to prove it was no fluke and then Fed rising like a phoenix after all these years to get his revenge. These matches in particular made up a great rivalry albeit one that was one sided for the most part.
 

tenisdecente

Hall of Fame
If you take W 08 and A 09 in conjunction with AO 17, they do in totality add to the legacy of both Fed and Nadal. I'd add W 07 too to get the full picture. Nadal catching up, passing Fed, beating him again to prove it was no fluke and then Fed rising like a phoenix after all these years to get his revenge. These matches in particular made up a great rivalry albeit one that was one sided for the most part.

We have to agree in disagreement. Legacy wise, take a lot from greatness. Good discussion though
 

swordtennis

G.O.A.T.
I think Djokovic in 5. :p

Whatsup man?



Good to see you too. Much more active than me. How is life treating you? Still doing some coding job or switched?














Hola.
Yep still computer programming. Working for the dept of energy for a nuclear sight. Pays the bills. Still tech jobs so I will ride it until the bottom drops out.
 

73west

Semi-Pro
This match, the 5th set in particular, is a good test of two different statistics on who played better.
Before the final break

Djokovic was winning 29% of the points on Nadal's serve
Nadal was winning 28% of the points on Djokovic's serve
Djokovic had gotten to at least 30 on 5 Nadal service games.
Nadal had gotten to at least 30 on only 2 Djokovic service games.
Overall, Djokovic was +5 on pts won
Things that point to Djokovic putting at least as much pressure on Nadal's serve as vice versa (if not a slight edge to Djokovic)

But the most conventional stat was 5 break points for Nadal, 2 for Djokovic. And conventional wisdom says that means Nadal had more chances.
 

abmk

Bionic Poster
if you think that was Nadal's best tennis, you have little judgement.

Nadal's best means very few free points for his opponent! that didn't happen in his semifinal. his offense and aggressiveness was very good, but he made way too many UEs.

don't forget it!

Its not Nadal's best tennis (ala at his prime), but it is the best he's capable of playing now.
And it was a high level of tennis from Nadal.
The higher # of UEs are part of ageing+being more aggressive.
 

DRII

G.O.A.T.
Its not Nadal's best tennis (ala at his prime), but it is the best he's capable of playing now.
And it was a high level of tennis from Nadal.
The higher # of UEs are part of ageing+being more aggressive.
its probably the best he is capable of on grass (specifically with a closed roof), but not on clay or higher bouncing HC.
 

NoleFam

Bionic Poster
There was a full match on Youtube a couple of days ago but it didn't last long obviously.

A 30 minute highlight video is currently available so you better hurry up if you are interested. :D

Damn. I saw someone posted that in the Djokovic news thread. I went to find it but it was gone by then. I wish I could have downloaded it before they deleted it. I'll try to find it the full match and if not I will have to settle for the highlight video.
 

RF-18

Talk Tennis Guru
Nadal is a more impressive physical specimen than Federer is, I agree. But even knowing that, he's human and clearly reached his limit after 12 hours of play. You could see he was exhausted in the middle of the fifth set and had reached his end. Advantage, Djokovic. There's no question that Djokovic had more advantages in this match--indoor play and Nadal's 12 hours being the biggest ones. To deny that is ridiculous IMO.

Believe me, if Djokovic happens by some miracle to lose to Anderson in the final, you watch how quickly these same Djokovic fanatics who are claiming Nadal's 12 hours on court made no difference will start posting how Djokovic's SF after five hours and two days is the factor in the result(despite the fact that Giant Anderson had an over six hour SF and is probably worse for wear) Most fans are hypocrites. At the end of the day, all players have to deal with conditions which may favor them or may not favor them and they make a difference but what matters more is who wins. This time Djokovic got the job done. The end.

Djokovic was better in the end, I'm not disputing that but the match was being played indoors where Djokovic is much better than Nadal and on grass where Djokovic is slightly better. Nadal also played for 12 hours between his SF and F matches and in the end I think it was too much for him. He looked like he was about to fall over and that's something for him considering he's a real physical specimen. Yet despite all of these things which favored Djokovic, he only squeaked through.

All I'm saying is that if they meet at the USO on an outdoor hc, it's 50-50. Surely, you'd agree?

Just be happy about the win, but don't go exaggerating things. To me, it doesn't mean Djokovic owns Nadal at off clay slams. They're pretty even as far as that goes. They'll surely have more tough battles where Nadal will get him. You can be sure about that.

WHAT

Nadal didn't spend 12 hours in the Del Potro and Djokovic matches. Why are you making things up?

He spent 4:38 hours vs Del Potro, and 5:21 vs Djokovic. That is 10 hours, not 12.

Djokovic spent 2:38 hours vs Nishikori, and 5:21 vs Nadal. That is 8 hours so the difference is 2 hours between them. You are gonna make that to some huge advantage for Djokovic?

AND remember Nadal had easy rides in the first week while Djokovic had to play Edmund already in the 3rd round that took 3 hours. So it evens out in the end.

Djokovic had no physical advantage. The roof was a help but other than that nothing else. Nadal was coming in to Wimbledon with a slam title in his backpack and being world #1 who lost just one match all season prior to the Djoko match. Let's stop making stuff up here.
 
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tenisdecente

Hall of Fame
the match was in his hands mainly on that tiebreaker and he missed it out thus djoker deserved it more that's all

Deserve something is highly subjective. If Nadal would have won the fifth, nobody would say it was undeserved for him. Still, my point remains - plenty of chances to take the match, he is the only one to "blame" for that, as well as this takes from its legacy
 

Rosstour

G.O.A.T.
Deserve something is highly subjective. If Nadal would have won the fifth, nobody would say it was undeserved for him. Still, my point remains - plenty of chances to take the match, he is the only one to "blame" for that, as well as this takes from its legacy

I agree with your general argument. W08 was one of the most painful moments in my sports-watching life. It doesn't add to Fed's legacy, I'd rather he had lost in a fluke blowout in the 3rd that year or something.

Yes it set the stage for his renaissance as the other guy pointed out, but only because it was a setback, as you correctly call it.
 

tenisdecente

Hall of Fame
I agree with your general argument. W08 was one of the most painful moments in my sports-watching life. It doesn't add to Fed's legacy, I'd rather he had lost in a fluke blowout in the 3rd that year or something.

Yes it set the stage for his renaissance as the other guy pointed out, but only because it was a setback, as you correctly call it.

Wimbledon 2008 was painful, but AO 2009 was like throwing a liter of alcohol in the wound - even worse.
I respect all opinions, but I have to disagree that a painful defeat to your main rival adds to your legacy. It takes, not add unfortunately
 

Rosstour

G.O.A.T.
Wimbledon 2008 was painful, but AO 2009 was like throwing a liter of alcohol in the wound - even worse.
I respect all opinions, but I have to disagree that a painful defeat to your main rival adds to your legacy. It takes, not add unfortunately

I forgot about AO 09 somewhat, because he got #14 at the French (totally unexpected) and then #15 at Wimbledon and then even made another Final. I have always said that USO 2008-AUS2010 was probably Fed's finest stretch given what he had endured in 2008 with Mono, back, Rafa, decline. Rebounded from that awful Wimbledon loss by making six straight Slam finals and winning 4 of them.
 

tenisdecente

Hall of Fame
I forgot about AO 09 somewhat, because he got #14 at the French (totally unexpected) and then #15 at Wimbledon and then even made another Final. I have always said that USO 2008-AUS2010 was probably Fed's finest stretch given what he had endured in 2008 with Mono, back, Rafa, decline. Rebounded from that awful Wimbledon loss by making six straight Slam finals and winning 4 of them.

Still, that AO 2009 final was awful. I wont deny that was Nadal in his prime, retrieving all the balls threw at him, but it was terrible for Fed's legacy
 

alexio

G.O.A.T.
Oh what we do have here? A weak era ambassador?
:Dnope i'm only wanted to say it's important against which kind of player you're playing..it relates to each player not only fed;)rafa would have easily won this wimby had he played any other guy than djokovic, fed would have at least 25 slams in his bag if not nadal..etc. it always matters who's your opponent
 
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