This is a rehash thread with 40 similar flame wars. A simple "search forums" will get literally every argument on both sides of the isle. There is no "pigeon" in a 30-29 h2h and they even split 6 exhibition matches on HC, and Nadal leads 2-0 in official Doubles also HC. The big matches BO5 Clay saw Nole go 2-9 and Nadal go 5-7 HC (Slams, National Representation, ATP Cup). Nadal leads 26-25 official Outdoor matches (and 1-0 exhibitions). Nadal leads 5-4 GS Finals (6 matches outside of Clay). Moreover, 15-11 biggest matches (Slams, National Rep (Olympics, Davis Cup, ATP Finals) with that distribution not skewered to clay since it was 12 HC, 11 Clay, and 3 Grass.
Nole since 2011 has dominated off clay but he also had only 1 BO5 HC match against Nadal between 2006-2010 (2010 USO). With his prior Gluten issue perhaps those HC M1000 Finals could've been different if they were BO5. Federer was 5-2 between 2006-2010 against Nole at Bo5 HC. Nadal was also 4-1 at their biggest matches (Slams, Olympics, ATP Finals). Imagine if he was on the same half of the draw as Fed was with Nole in slams?
As for the 7 Nadal losses between 2015-2016 this was not the best Nadal version as the Nole between 2017 and early 2018. However, it was obvious that Nole was at a very high level and even healthy Nadal gets between 2-3 wins at most. The 2017 Madrid match could also have been different if Nole had a healthy elbow. The H2H is pretty much even all things considered.