Would djokovic playing at his top level have beaten medvedev in the usopen?

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Deleted member 762343

Guest
He was completely lost out there and he didn't even play badly. Medvedev just punched him in the mouth and he had no response. And that was his "I'm going to play like it's the last match if my career" mode... yikes.

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ballamaz

Rookie
It seemed to me that his 1st serve percentage was way down. His 2nd serve has not been the same since the wrist injury, less kick. Hence less 2nd serve points won and more DFs. Overall his serving performance was below par. I don't think Nadal would let it drop that much, his lefty slice is usually there when he needs it.

Medvedev did a good job using the pace of Djokovic. The speed of the court and lighter balls helped him. I believe it helped Nishikori to some extent as well but he is less resilient than Med and does not put the ball in awkward places like him. Kei also has a much worse serve and Djokovic was able to come through. But he did give away the first set as he did in every match.

Strategy wise Djokovic abandoned one shot that was working for him in AO21, which is the short slice. He used it to move Medvedev around at AO so why change it for USO? Not only does it make Med come forward but it also changes the pace.
 

Nostradamus

Bionic Poster
I think medvedev has been improving over the years and in this years usopen he seemed to have finally arrived at his full playing potential. I think it might be possible that djokovic never beats medvedev again; either bc djokovic never gets his full game back, or because peak medvedev is simply that good.

yes he would have for sure. But Sasha did his job and took away the energy and will from novak before being taken out like choking german automoton tennis player. Did medvedev send him a present yet... ? maybe a new Suez 52 airplane or hypersonic missile.. or something like that
 

Open Stance

Professional
Novak was NOT fatigued. He is NEVER tired on a tennis court. Even at this day he is the BY FAR the FITTEST ATP player.
The problem with Novak was the nerves. He succumbed to the pressure and could barely move and play freely like he does. Med was the worst opponent for such a case.

Never thought that Novak would fail to control his nerves. When he wants something he almost always gets it, and his WILL/Mental Strength is the STRONGEST EVER in the history of the game. So it was very shocking to see him collapse mentally.
In the post match interview he said that Med played great, hitting all his spots and he (Novak) didn't have his legs. He was tired for sure.
 

Kralingen

Talk Tennis Guru
It seemed to me that his 1st serve percentage was way down. His 2nd serve has not been the same since the wrist injury, less kick. Hence less 2nd serve points won and more DFs. Overall his serving performance was below par. I don't think Nadal would let it drop that much, his lefty slice is usually there when he needs it.

Medvedev did a good job using the pace of Djokovic. The speed of the court and lighter balls helped him. I believe it helped Nishikori to some extent as well but he is less resilient than Med and does not put the ball in awkward places like him. Kei also has a much worse serve and Djokovic was able to come through. But he did give away the first set as he did in every match.

Strategy wise Djokovic abandoned one shot that was working for him in AO21, which is the short slice. He used it to move Medvedev around at AO so why change it for USO? Not only does it make Med come forward but it also changes the pace.
Great post, basically the only analysis in the thread that isn’t either BS or an agenda lol
 

Tennisgods

Hall of Fame
This is an obvious non issue.

All Djokovic needed is to take match into 4th set to win it in 5. He failed and lost it. Cause his mind underachieved, as it was too slow for the occasion - busy pondering pathetic self deluded BS about history and his own ego/vanity instead of only playing the match with it 's regular focus.

Medvedev himself admitted he was already tired and not sure to win the match if it lasted 4 or 5 sets.

So poor if this is true. I mean, no shame in being outlasted by Djokovic at his physical best, because he’s got the best endurance level on the tour. But this was not that Djokovic!
 
Medvedev at the beginning of the match was quite nervous. Had Djokovic come out strong, not breaking himself plus putting at least some pressure on Daniil's serve, the match could definitely play out differently. The 1st set and then a couple of games in the 2nd let Daniil settle in nicely. Djokovic in his SF form, for example, probably doesn't let that happen.
 

EllieK

Hall of Fame
I never said that. Medvedev deserved the win, just as Nadal deserved the '20 RG title.

I'm just saying, Djokovic will beat Medvedev the next time they meet at Slam HC, just as he beat Nadal at '21 RG.

For all those Fedfans out there, there's an age difference of 9 years between Djokovic-Medvedev, considerably more than the 6 years of Federer-Djokovic.
He beat Nadal at ‘21 RG because Nadal wasn’t 100%. He ended his season for crying out loud. At the end of the day, that’s tennis. Do we believe Thiem and Zverev would both have made the final last year had Djokovic not been defaulted? I don’t
 

ChaelAZ

G.O.A.T.
Maybe. But Nadal playing his top level would beat anyone at the USO. However, every player only gets to face the opponents he is given at the time they play, so it is on the looser to deal with the lack of performance for any reason. Djo lost badly, so all props to Med for sticking it to him and saving tennis.
 

EllieK

Hall of Fame
It seemed to me that his 1st serve percentage was way down. His 2nd serve has not been the same since the wrist injury, less kick. Hence less 2nd serve points won and more DFs. Overall his serving performance was below par. I don't think Nadal would let it drop that much, his lefty slice is usually there when he needs it.

Medvedev did a good job using the pace of Djokovic. The speed of the court and lighter balls helped him. I believe it helped Nishikori to some extent as well but he is less resilient than Med and does not put the ball in awkward places like him. Kei also has a much worse serve and Djokovic was able to come through. But he did give away the first set as he did in every match.

Strategy wise Djokovic abandoned one shot that was working for him in AO21, which is the short slice. He used it to move Medvedev around at AO so why change it for USO? Not only does it make Med come forward but it also changes the pace.
But Med, while not exactly excellent, has drastically improved his forecourt prowess since AO
 

Patogen

Rookie
Impossible to tell, because we don't know how good Med was gonna get if actually challenged. It's not like Novak tested Daniil's limits that day. I would be more curious if Novak would have made it into the second week had he played like that the whole tournament.
 

jondice

Semi-Pro
Novak playing his best beats everybody playing their best except Rafa or Fed playing their best.

And then it's a toss up.
 

ForehandRF

Legend
The question is how many times has Djokovic played at the top level in a USO final ? Only in 2011 and 2015 perhaps.Nadal fans might include 2010 also :D
 
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hoodjem

G.O.A.T.
No excuses. Medvedev was too good and fully deserved the win. (y) Only times I have an issue with real matches is with pre-11 (more USO10) Nole and 17-18 Nole.
I thought Djokovic played pretty well, but Medvedev played much better.
Plus Mededev had an excellent strategy and was able to execute it fully.
 

zagor

Bionic Poster
He didn't read the Russian's serve too well and the return is one of the keys to his game.

This, one of the key factors.

It seemed to me that his 1st serve percentage was way down. His 2nd serve has not been the same since the wrist injury, less kick. Hence less 2nd serve points won and more DFs. Overall his serving performance was below par. I don't think Nadal would let it drop that much, his lefty slice is usually there when he needs it.

Medvedev did a good job using the pace of Djokovic. The speed of the court and lighter balls helped him. I believe it helped Nishikori to some extent as well but he is less resilient than Med and does not put the ball in awkward places like him. Kei also has a much worse serve and Djokovic was able to come through. But he did give away the first set as he did in every match.

Strategy wise Djokovic abandoned one shot that was working for him in AO21, which is the short slice. He used it to move Medvedev around at AO so why change it for USO? Not only does it make Med come forward but it also changes the pace.

He did use it pretty successfully against Zverev in semis though. Think he tried it a few times against Med but got burned.
 

Quaichang

Semi-Pro
Med said he was cramping and could not walk when serving for the match at 5-4. That is how close Djoker came to winning this match. One break and it would have been the biggest collapse ever... Meanwhile Med needs to work on his fitness and pathetic endurance. Cramping after 3 easy sets?
I think the cramps were due to nerves when he was serving for his first major. Don’t think he was going to totally collapse had he been broken.
 

duaneeo

Legend
The question is how many times has Djokovic played at the top level in a USO final ? Only in 2011 and 2015 perhaps.

Not many. Even in 2015, Nole faced a gazillion break points. He was lucky that he was facing slamidous-suffering Federer instead of nemesis Wawrinka (who Roger took out in the semis).
 

BeatlesFan

Bionic Poster
Medvedev was serving out of his mind in the USO final. Even 2011 and 2015 Djokovic would have struggled to return those serves, but I still think 2011/2015 Djoker would have beaten Med in four sets. Possibly even in three tight sets.
 

Bubcay

Legend
He did play at his top level. This Joker has waaaay moar practice And experience than the 2011,2015, and 2016 versions did. He also said he was playing his best tennis ever and was super confident going into the F. The Mad Lad just peaked higher than absolute peak Peakovic.

Nuff said no excuses!!!
That was not an absolute peak Peakovic by any stretch of the imagination. Not even close. In fact, he was not close to his actual peak the whole year. His super improved serve helped him all along in 2021.
 

Robert C

Rookie
I think medvedev has been improving over the years and in this years usopen he seemed to have finally arrived at his full playing potential. I think it might be possible that djokovic never beats medvedev again; either bc djokovic never gets his full game back, or because peak medvedev is simply that good.

It seems a little pathetic that until someone wins they can apparently never beat the reigning champion and then when they do win once they’ll never lose to them again!
 

Midaso240

Legend
I remember having this discussion about Serena Williams a few years ago, everyone just kept saying if she plays top level she wins easily. The thing is though, players decline, they have a new top level which is slightly lower than what they could achieve in their prime.
 

Djokovicfan

Professional
I get the feeling alot of ppl here think that peak djoker wouldve outdone uso21 medvedev. But why? What is it about peak djokovics game that wouldve beaten medvedev? Because meds raw credentials- long arms for huge reach, 6’6 for huge serves, and for his size an unbelievable amount of speed.

it would be interesting to see if medvedev can grow his endurance. More muscle would help.
 

PilotPete

Hall of Fame
Wait a second, I thought the game keeps evolving? In what world then is 2015 Djoker even beating 2021 Djoker? Or are these people finally getting a brain?
 

Bubcay

Legend
I get the feeling alot of ppl here think that peak djoker wouldve outdone uso21 medvedev. But why? What is it about peak djokovics game that wouldve beaten medvedev? Because meds raw credentials- long arms for huge reach, 6’6 for huge serves, and for his size an unbelievable amount of speed.

it would be interesting to see if medvedev can grow his endurance. More muscle would help.
Just my opinion, but I will give it a go. The strength of his shots is weaker than 2011 or 15. A lot less confidence in using BHDTL which was his major weapon then. I have been re-watching a ton of Big 3 matches during the past several weeks (so it is fresh in my mind) and the difference is obvious. He has improved serve and plays smarter now (using every opportunity to shorten the points), but in pure shot strength, placement (almost every single shot in peak period was landing on or near the lines) a and even mobility, the 2011/15 version is way better than 21 Djokovic.
 

Djokovicfan

Professional
Just my opinion, but I will give it a go. The strength of his shots is weaker than 2011 or 15. A lot less confidence in using BHDTL which was his major weapon then. I have been re-watching a ton of Big 3 matches during the past several weeks (so it is fresh in my mind) and the difference is obvious. He has improved serve and plays smarter now (using every opportunity to shorten the points), but in pure shot strength, placement (almost every single shot in peak period was landing on or near the lines) a and even mobility, the 2011/15 version is way better than 21 Djokovic.

it would be crazy if med went on a slamstreak and shut down fed nadal and djokovic at 20 each.
 

mr tonyz

Professional
Just my opinion, but I will give it a go. The strength of his shots is weaker than 2011 or 15. A lot less confidence in using BHDTL which was his major weapon then. I have been re-watching a ton of Big 3 matches during the past several weeks (so it is fresh in my mind) and the difference is obvious. He has improved serve and plays smarter now (using every opportunity to shorten the points), but in pure shot strength, placement (almost every single shot in peak period was landing on or near the lines) a and even mobility, the 2011/15 version is way better than 21 Djokovic.

No way!

Tennis is always evolving, or haven't you received the memo?

Because if you had, it would tell you that ...

Tennis has evolved ;D
 

clayqueen

Talk Tennis Guru
No one has won more slams playing below his top level...
Djokovic's fans go on about Nadal fans making excuses for his losses but reach for the ridiculous excuse of Djokovic not being at his best. :-D :-D :-D
This is where his luck comes in. He ran out of luck at the OGs and the USO. Djokovic wins a lot of matches that could go either way through sheer luck.

His fans have not yet thought of an excuse for him losing two Bo3 matches in the space of one week to Zverev and PCB in Tokyo. LMHO
 
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Biotic

Hall of Fame
The question is how many times has Djokovic played at the top level in a USO final ? Only in 2011 and 2015 perhaps.Nadal fans might include 2010 also :D

The answer is 2011 and 2012, with 2015 and 2018 just sligthly below. Pity he got fckd up by the wind in 2012. Talking about the whole tournament not only finals.
 

clayqueen

Talk Tennis Guru
Before the match, Prime Video did a collage of Djokovic saying he was at his peak and he has no weaknesses.
 

Swingmaster

Hall of Fame
Where can one book it? Do you have your own website to book it? Are you gambling your own life savings to book it?
I think we should have a place on here called "lock it" where you can "lock in" your most confident predictions for the future and whenever the relevant outcomes occur it automatically gives us notifications about people's lock it predictions turning out to be true or false. Do you hear me Warehouse?
 

SonnyT

Legend
He beat Nadal at ‘21 RG because Nadal wasn’t 100%. He ended his season for crying out loud. At the end of the day, that’s tennis. Do we believe Thiem and Zverev would both have made the final last year had Djokovic not been defaulted? I don’t
He'd have beaten Nadal at '20 RG, if he had got into any kind of rhythm.
 

clayqueen

Talk Tennis Guru
He beat Nadal at ‘21 RG because Nadal wasn’t 100%. He ended his season for crying out loud. At the end of the day, that’s tennis. Do we believe Thiem and Zverev would both have made the final last year had Djokovic not been defaulted? I don’t
Djokovic was being taken out by PCB, hence his outrage leading to his disqualification.
 
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