Krish872007
Talk Tennis Guru
Theoretical Maximum Points Threshold - for a dominant player who enters the following events:
Doha/Brisbane - 250
Australian Open - 2000
Dubai - 500
Indian Wells - 1000
Miami - 1000
Monte Carlo - 1000
Madrid - 1000
Rome - 1000
Roland Garros - 2000
Halle/Queen's - 500
Wimbledon - 2000
Canada - 1000
Cincinnati - 1000
US Open - 2000
Beijing - 500
Shanghai - 1000
Basel - 500
Paris - 1000
WTF - 1500
19 tournaments constituting: 20,750 points
Nothing particularly special about this as I've just done some picking and choosing, but it shows how far someone really could go.
With this ridiculous figure in mind, I'd also like to consider a direct stat which reflects consistency across a calendar year - I call it "Point Potential Maximisation" (or PPM for short). Very simple idea, probably been covered in some form or another - it looks at the effectiveness of converting tournament participation into tournament wins/deep runs.
Example:
Federer's 2006 Season:
Federer participated in 17 tour-level tournaments, winning 12 of them and reaching the final of 16 of them.
Federer's Theoretical Maximum (in 2015 base year points) = 18,750
Federer's actual points for the year (in eq. 2015 base year points) = 15,495
Federer's PPM for 2006 = (15495/18750)% = 82.64%
Case in Point now:
Djokovic 2015:
The exceptional Novak Djokovic has taken part in 14 tournaments this year SO FAR (as of 20-10-2015).
Djokovic's Theoretical Maximum To Date = 16,250
Djokovic's actual points to date = 14,285
Djokovic's current PPM = 14285/16250% = 87.9%
Djokovic's Projected Theoretical Maximum = 18,750 (same as Federer in '06 - with Paris and WTF left only)
Djokovic's Projected Maximum = 16,785 (if he wins both)
Projected Maximum PPM = 16785/18750% = 89.52%
Just for comparison - (Nadal 2013 - won 10 titles for the year, and reached quite a few finals)
Nadal 2013 Theoretical: 17,500
Nadal 2013 Actual: 13,030
Nadal 2013 PPM: 13030/17500% = 74.45%
Disclaimer:
On its own, the statistic doesn't mean anything - it all depends on how you choose to interpret it, but I see it as an interest way of easily comparing the effectiveness of going deep and winning every tournament.
Of course, the more observant ones among you will notice that this system will heavily swing toward smaller tournaments with greater chances of victory, but the Slams do help to re-allocate those weights to some extent.
Doha/Brisbane - 250
Australian Open - 2000
Dubai - 500
Indian Wells - 1000
Miami - 1000
Monte Carlo - 1000
Madrid - 1000
Rome - 1000
Roland Garros - 2000
Halle/Queen's - 500
Wimbledon - 2000
Canada - 1000
Cincinnati - 1000
US Open - 2000
Beijing - 500
Shanghai - 1000
Basel - 500
Paris - 1000
WTF - 1500
19 tournaments constituting: 20,750 points
Nothing particularly special about this as I've just done some picking and choosing, but it shows how far someone really could go.
With this ridiculous figure in mind, I'd also like to consider a direct stat which reflects consistency across a calendar year - I call it "Point Potential Maximisation" (or PPM for short). Very simple idea, probably been covered in some form or another - it looks at the effectiveness of converting tournament participation into tournament wins/deep runs.
Example:
Federer's 2006 Season:
Federer participated in 17 tour-level tournaments, winning 12 of them and reaching the final of 16 of them.
Federer's Theoretical Maximum (in 2015 base year points) = 18,750
Federer's actual points for the year (in eq. 2015 base year points) = 15,495
Federer's PPM for 2006 = (15495/18750)% = 82.64%
Case in Point now:
Djokovic 2015:
The exceptional Novak Djokovic has taken part in 14 tournaments this year SO FAR (as of 20-10-2015).
Djokovic's Theoretical Maximum To Date = 16,250
Djokovic's actual points to date = 14,285
Djokovic's current PPM = 14285/16250% = 87.9%
Djokovic's Projected Theoretical Maximum = 18,750 (same as Federer in '06 - with Paris and WTF left only)
Djokovic's Projected Maximum = 16,785 (if he wins both)
Projected Maximum PPM = 16785/18750% = 89.52%
Just for comparison - (Nadal 2013 - won 10 titles for the year, and reached quite a few finals)
Nadal 2013 Theoretical: 17,500
Nadal 2013 Actual: 13,030
Nadal 2013 PPM: 13030/17500% = 74.45%
Disclaimer:
On its own, the statistic doesn't mean anything - it all depends on how you choose to interpret it, but I see it as an interest way of easily comparing the effectiveness of going deep and winning every tournament.
Of course, the more observant ones among you will notice that this system will heavily swing toward smaller tournaments with greater chances of victory, but the Slams do help to re-allocate those weights to some extent.
