NCAA tournament bubble watch

C

Clemson_tennis

Legend
remaining schedules in parentheses

Safe zone
35 South Carolina (@14 Kentucky, @26 Vanderbilt)
36 Purdue (69 Indiana, 16 Penn State, 1 Ohio State, @Michigan State, @50 Michigan)
37 Texas Tech (@24 Oklahoma State, @4 Oklahoma, 56 TCU, 7 Texas)
38 Drake (@ Illinois State, @ Bradley, 73 Wichita State)
39 Oregon (@64 Santa Clara, @19 Cal, @43 Stanford, @Washington)
40 Dartmouth (Penn, 59 Princeton, @Yale, Brown, @28 Harvard)
41 Tulsa (@1 Ohio State, Incarnate Word, Oral Roberts)

Crunch Zone
42 Virginia Tech (48 VCU, 23 Wake Forest, 32 NC State, 5 Virginia)
43 Stanford (Cal Poly, Washington, 39 Oregon, Saint Mary's, @19 Cal)
44 Elon
45 UNC Wilmington
46 Miami (@12 Notre Dame, @Boston College, 28 Florida State)
47 Pepperdine
48 VCU

Outside looking in
49 San Diego
50 Michigan (@55 Minnesota, @74 Wisconsin, 69 Indiana, 36 Purdue)
51 Utah (3 UCLA, 2 USC, @Arizona)
52 Cornell (@Yale, @Brown, @59 Princeton, Penn)
53 Ole Miss (@10 Texas A&M)
54 George Washington
55 Minnesota (50 Michigan, Michigan State, @11 Illinois, @34 Northwestern)

The ones without schedules listed will determine their tournament status in the conference tournament rather than their remaining schedule.
 
K

Kirijax

Hall of Fame
Gotta beat Notre Dame or Florida State. I am not confident but these Canes have surprised. Hope Coach Rincon can get them motivated after the thrashings they have endured the last couple of weeks.
 
J

JLyon

Hall of Fame
George Opelka said:
I went to the match versus Florida on Sunday and I was impressed by the Ole Miss international team, particularly #1 and #2. The lefty that plays #2 has a massive forehand.
Click to expand...

He would do even better but does not think enough on the court, the other lefty that plays #3 also has all the shots but has been in a major slump the last 2 months, then the big Swede @ #4 has been playing great.

Ole Miss needs to win 2 matches at SEC to even sniff at getting into tournament, but the SCarolina loss is bad timing as was the Bama loss.
 
Nostradamus

Nostradamus

Bionic Poster
Really surprising to see Michigan has fallen off so far. They used to be automatic in. Not sure what is going on with that program.
 
C

chris-swede

Hall of Fame
JLyon said:
He would do even better but does not think enough on the court, the other lefty that plays #3 also has all the shots but has been in a major slump the last 2 months, then the big Swede @ #4 has been playing great.

Ole Miss needs to win 2 matches at SEC to even sniff at getting into tournament, but the SCarolina loss is bad timing as was the Bama loss.
Click to expand...

a lot has gone wrong for them...every game they lost...was close..(only vs UGA and maybe UK / Baylor was clear games)
they lost doubles..vs teams like bama/auburn/Lsu and never came back in singles...with the doubles they would ve won at least 2 of this 3
and in other matches they took the doubles and played bad in singles, like vs MSU
 
C

Clemson_tennis

Legend
Purdue needs to avoid losing to Indiana today to keep themselves in the safe zone.

Big match between VCU and VT today for two teams squarely on the bubble.
 
M

MC86

Rookie
On a similar note it looks like Carlos Lopez-Villa (ODU) is going to miss out on making the singles draw. Tough for a guy who is 18-1 on the dual match season and also won a Fall Regional and made last 16 of the National Indoors. Further proof I suppose of how the formula the ITA use rewards 'quality' wins much more than it punishes losses.
 
C

Clemson_tennis

Legend
MC86 said:
On a similar note it looks like Carlos Lopez-Villa (ODU) is going to miss out on making the singles draw. Tough for a guy who is 18-1 on the dual match season and also won a Fall Regional and made last 16 of the National Indoors. Further proof I suppose of how the formula the ITA use rewards 'quality' wins much more than it punishes losses.
Click to expand...

And look who's right behind him. Tsvetan Mihov. A guy who was barely winning games for most of the season.

ITA does need to slightly tweak its rankings formula I think.
 
Nostradamus

Nostradamus

Bionic Poster
Hmmmmm said:
Not enough talent. No one wants to go there because it's too cold and you seldom play outside.
Click to expand...

LOL, tennis is indoor sport. nobody likes playing tennis outside in the Wind and Sun penetrating your eye and making you develop cataracts. Not to mention skin cancer.............
 
TopDawg

TopDawg

G.O.A.T.
Oregon is clearly on the bubble now - they lost at Santa Clara today 4-2. They must at the very least beat Stanford or Cal this weekend or possibly both.

No. 64 Santa Clara (13-5) 4, No. 39 Oregon (15-5) 2

SINGLES
1. John Lamble (SCU) def. Kevin Farin (ORE) 6-1, 2-6, 6-1
2. Ilya Osintsev (SCU) def. #59 Robin Cambier (ORE) 7-5, 7-6
3. Ashot Khacharyan (SCU) def. Daan Maasland (ORE) 6-4, 6-4
4. Daniel Sardu (ORE) vs. Mikheil Khmiadashvili (SCU) 3-6, 7-6, 2-1
5. Jayson Amos (ORE) def. Sam Bertram (SCU) 6-1, 6-2
6. Joey Swaysland (ORE) def. Michael Tjuatjadarma (SCU) 6-3, 6-0

DOUBLES
1. Osintsev/Lamble (SCU) def. Cambier/Farin (ORE) 8-3
2. Khacharyan/Khmiadashvili (SCU) def. Maasland/Swaysland (ORE) 8-6
3. Sardu/Amos (ORE) def. Bertram/Tjuatjadarma (SCU) 8-0
 
Nostradamus

Nostradamus

Bionic Poster
TopDawg said:
Oregon is clearly on the bubble now - they lost at Santa Clara today 4-2. They must at the very least beat Stanford or Cal this weekend or possibly both.

No. 64 Santa Clara (13-5) 4, No. 39 Oregon (15-5) 2

SINGLES
1. John Lamble (SCU) def. Kevin Farin (ORE) 6-1, 2-6, 6-1
2. Ilya Osintsev (SCU) def. #59 Robin Cambier (ORE) 7-5, 7-6
3. Ashot Khacharyan (SCU) def. Daan Maasland (ORE) 6-4, 6-4
4. Daniel Sardu (ORE) vs. Mikheil Khmiadashvili (SCU) 3-6, 7-6, 2-1
5. Jayson Amos (ORE) def. Sam Bertram (SCU) 6-1, 6-2
6. Joey Swaysland (ORE) def. Michael Tjuatjadarma (SCU) 6-3, 6-0

DOUBLES
1. Osintsev/Lamble (SCU) def. Cambier/Farin (ORE) 8-3
2. Khacharyan/Khmiadashvili (SCU) def. Maasland/Swaysland (ORE) 8-6
3. Sardu/Amos (ORE) def. Bertram/Tjuatjadarma (SCU) 8-0
Click to expand...


what happened to that huge tall dude from Oregan, he was good. did he graduate ?

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZIFhdhNP6i8
 
C

chris-swede

Hall of Fame
JLyon said:
He would do even better but does not think enough on the court, the other lefty that plays #3 also has all the shots but has been in a major slump the last 2 months, then the big Swede @ #4 has been playing great.

Ole Miss needs to win 2 matches at SEC to even sniff at getting into tournament, but the SCarolina loss is bad timing as was the Bama loss.
Click to expand...

Rebels won all 3 matches vs UAPB yesterday ! All were 4-0 sweeps ! Great results !!! :):shock:
lets go Rebels !!! U can do it !!!
They are 11-12 now for the season, could they sneak into ncaas???
 
J

JLyon

Hall of Fame
chris-swede said:
Rebels won all 3 matches vs UAPB yesterday ! All were 4-0 sweeps ! Great results !!! :):shock:
lets go Rebels !!! U can do it !!!
They are 11-12 now for the season, could they sneak into ncaas???
Click to expand...

Not unless they win 2 matches at the SEC's
 
G

goldy0084

Rookie
MC86 said:
On a similar note it looks like Carlos Lopez-Villa (ODU) is going to miss out on making the singles draw. Tough for a guy who is 18-1 on the dual match season and also won a Fall Regional and made last 16 of the National Indoors. Further proof I suppose of how the formula the ITA use rewards 'quality' wins much more than it punishes losses.
Click to expand...

Apparently, the coach cancelled most of the their ranked opponents after poor recruiting. He won the regional in the fall, but hasn't played against enough decent players in the spring. It's a shame, since he is very good!
 
M

MC86

Rookie
goldy0084 said:
Apparently, the coach cancelled most of the their ranked opponents after poor recruiting. He won the regional in the fall, but hasn't played against enough decent players in the spring. It's a shame, since he is very good!
Click to expand...

Yea they had a couple of guys leave and couldn't get replacements in. Might have thought he could have scheduled a couple of matches to give Lopez-Villa a chance to get some higher ranked wins...
 
C

chris-swede

Hall of Fame
41st to 44th in the rankings should be the line for bubble teams
i think
it is too tough to calculate every conference tournament, or too much to search
but on 41st or 42nd u could be safe.
 
TopDawg

TopDawg

G.O.A.T.
The bubble teams need Boise State to beat New Mexico today in the Mountain West Final otherwise that'll steal away an at-large bid.
 
TopDawg

TopDawg

G.O.A.T.
If Boise State wins today I think the cutoff will be at 42. If Alabama isn't eligible due to their sub .500 record that'd make it 43. Texas Tech, Auburn, Purdue, and Oregon will all be right in that range. Here is where they are right now if the rankings were run like normal this week - once they are run again tonight it'll likely change a bit but I wouldn't think they'd change enough to raise LSU up past Oregon but we'll wait and see.

37 Louisville* 23.14
38 San Diego* - Auto Bid 22.44
39 Ole Miss* 22.18
40 Texas Tech* 21.79
41 Auburn* 21.78
42 Purdue* 21.49
43 Oregon* 21.36
44 Drake* - (Auto Bid with win today) 20.85
45 Tulsa - Auto Bid 20.53
46 LSU* 18.60
47 Dartmouth* 18.52
48 TCU* 16.29
 
C

chris-swede

Hall of Fame
Ttech & Purdue are deserving the most

lsu was in better form as auburn recently
ole miss should move up in the rankings as most of their wins /losses got better after the last weeks
 
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