Was Nadal unlucky to have a precociously early grass prime/peak?

GabeT

G.O.A.T.
but hey you are not sorry for tennis fans about the darkness of the inflation era that has been going on for like 7 years (2016-2022) because it helps your boy Djoko, right?
Djoko fandom > the game of tennis, no?
If you think this is an inflation era chances are you know little about tennis
 

RS

Bionic Poster
He barely beat a past-prime 32-33 year old Federer who was suffering from slamidous, but he would beat a peak 24-25 year old Federer who wasn't?
Would you say Nole barely won in slam matches?

Anyway does that circlar thing work anyway who knows how players could raise levels or not?
 

abmk

Bionic Poster
If you think this is an inflation era chances are you know little about tennis

307758901_128916446563880_1272725628725680581_n.jpg
 

King_ Zeglan12

Professional
Let's say put Nadal 06-11 at Wimbledon in place of Djokovic 11-16

2011
06 Nadal vs 11 Nadal (Tossup)

2012
07 Nadal vs Federer and Murray (Nadal wins first title)

2013
08 Nadal vs Murray ( Nadal wins second title)

2014
Withdrawal

2015
10 Nadal vs 15 Federer (Nadal wins third title)

2016
11 Nadal vs 16 Murray ( Tossup )

Djokovic 11-16 in 06-11


06 Federer vs 11 Djokovic (Federer wins)
07 Federer vs 12 Djokovic (Federer wins )
08 Federer vs 13 Djokovic (Federer wins )
09 Federer vs 14 Djokovic (Federer wins )
10 Berdych vs 15 Djokovic (Djokovic wins )
13 Murray vs 18 Djokovic ( Tossup )
14 Federer vs 19 Djokovic (Federer wins )
16 Murray vs 21 Djokovic (Murray wins )
17 Federer vs 22 Djokovic (Tossup )

Now we can have a scenario in which Djokovic has one Wimbledon title and Nadal has 5

Obviously Djokovic deserves all his 7 titles but to deny his count has nothing to do with timing is just fanboy bias
 

GabeT

G.O.A.T.
Sigh, this is what ttw is left to. Idiotic claims of weak and inflation eras and never ending discussions of time travel tennis and prediction of hypothetical matches by posters that can’t predict a real match that is halfway through. And these same posters are so deluded they’ve convinced themselves they actually are good analysts :X3:
 

jm1980

Talk Tennis Guru
There isn't much you could contest. It was a ridiculous argument to try and lessen prime Nadal's quality on grass because he played a couple 5-set matches in earlier rounds, most of which he was winning comfortably in the end.

Djokovic was a point away from having 2 USO titles. And I think only one final he lost at the USO went to 5 sets. Why is the cosmic correction for Nadal struggling a little on grass is for him to lose more, but the cosmic correction for Djokovic always struggling in the USO finals is for him to win more? It's a rhetorical question. There's no cosmic correction for anything. Nadal's prime on grass was just short-lived because once his speed on the baseline declined, he became that much more vulnerable on faster grass as his rallying quality was the biggest advantage he had, given lack of spectacular serve or return to rely on.
Nadal plays a claycourt game on grass (everywhere, really) and once his physicality declined he was much more vulnerable in early rounds. Yes, there is a factor of sour grapes here but his game is antithetical to how grass court tennis should be played. Pounding endless loopy topspin shots from well behind the baseline; is this clay? Even in the 2008 final, arguably his best match on the surface, he played 8.5% of his points at the net, which is exactly his career number. It's a small miracle he's accomplished as much as he has on the surface.

Regarding Djokovic at the USO, of course he a fair share of the blame with some of the massive eggs he laid in the later stages of the tournament. But I'd say he's also been a little unfortunate here. 2021, he plays a tough 5 setter in the semis against Zverev while Medvedev breezes past FAA, so he has little left in the tank for the final. Similar story in 2013, tough 5 sets vs Wawrinka while Nadal gets Gasquet. Hurricane conditions against Murray in 2012. Freak disqualification in 2020 with a depleted field. Add high heat and humidity and you have a recipe for Djokovic's woes at the USO
 
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duaneeo

Legend
Sigh, this is what ttw is left to. Idiotic claims of weak and inflation eras and never ending discussions of time travel tennis and prediction of hypothetical matches by posters that can’t predict a real match that is halfway through.

When has TTW been anything else?
 

GabeT

G.O.A.T.
Except abmk is like UTS in human form, recalling matches point-by-point from the freaking 80s. If you two were to face off as far as tennis knowledge goes, pretty sure you'd have to take your words back really quickly.
Except that endlessly reciting obscure data points provides no advantage in predicting actual matches
 

abmk

Bionic Poster
Sigh, this is what ttw is left to. Idiotic claims of weak and inflation eras and never ending discussions of time travel tennis and prediction of hypothetical matches by posters that can’t predict a real match that is halfway through. And these same posters are so deluded they’ve convinced themselves they actually are good analysts :X3:

yes, ignore actual analysis and evidence of 16-current being immensely weak.
and then whine about hypotheticals to avoid the above.

rinse and repeat.
 

abmk

Bionic Poster
Except that endlessly reciting obscure data points provides no advantage in predicting actual matches

except actual data points about actual matches gives lot of advantage in actual analysis of what happened : for example 16-22 being the weakest period in open era by far (even more so post-COVID)
 

abmk

Bionic Poster
I questioned his ability to predict hypothetical matches and recognize weak and inflation eras

ah yes, because properly watching matches/getting stats in context makes my ability to recognize weak/inflation eras mediocre ...oh wait ...
dude, seriously stop making yourself look so bad.

stop denying the reality. 16-22 being the weakest period in open era by far (even more so post-COVID). This is based on analysis of what happened. no hypothetical.
 

GabeT

G.O.A.T.
except actual data points about actual matches gives lot of advantage in actual analysis of what happened : for example 16-22 being the weakest period in open era by far (even more so post-COVID)
Remember when a few years back you predicted Novak wouldn’t reach 12 slams and someone recently found and bumped that thread? Lucky for you that thread was deleted

I’d focus on reciting obscure data points, that seems to be your thing
 

abmk

Bionic Poster
Remember when a few years back you predicted Novak wouldn’t reach 12 slams and someone recently found and bumped that thread? Lucky for you that thread was deleted

I’d focus on reciting obscure data points, that seems to be your thing

lol, when did that happen?
like 2009 or something?
I never claimed to be that great at predicting matches without form being known/long term prediction by the way,

You can't deal with actual analysis.
So run around desperately like crazy with criticisms of hypotheticals/predictions to avoid admitting reality/doing actual analysis.
 

NoleFam

Bionic Poster
except actual data points about actual matches gives lot of advantage in actual analysis of what happened : for example 16-22 being the weakest period in open era by far (even more so post-COVID)
Did the actual data points tell you Djokovic would never reach 21? :unsure:

Nevermind, Gabe just said you said he'd never reach 12. Lol.
 

GabeT

G.O.A.T.
lol, when did that happen?
like 2009 or something?
I never claimed to be that great at predicting matches without form being known/long term prediction by the way,

You can't deal with actual analysis.
So run around desperately like crazy with criticisms of hypotheticals/predictions to avoid admitting reality/doing actual analysis.
Dude, you can’t predict anything. That’s why you resort to hypothetical matches, because you can’t be proven wrong

enjoy your time travel tennis, I’ll enjoy Novak’s 7 Wimbledons which could end up higher
 

abmk

Bionic Poster
Did the actual data points tell you Djokovic would never reach 21? :unsure:

Nevermind, Gabe just said you said he'd never reach 12. Lol. Something tell me, you were one of the Fed

yeah, I don't recall that happening at all.
Let me also invent some fairy tale to bolster my point and avoid actual analysis of what happened. Oh wait, that's @GabeT and not me.
 

jm1980

Talk Tennis Guru
yes, ignore actual analysis and evidence of 16-current being immensely weak.
and then whine about hypotheticals to avoid the above.

rinse and repeat.
You keep using these words, but they don't mean what you think they mean
 

Hitman

Bionic Poster
yeah, I don't recall that happening at all.
Let me also invent some fairy tale to bolster my point and avoid actual analysis of what happened. Oh wait, that's @GabeT and not me.

You do know that if Djokovic gets 9 Wimbledon titles, the general consensus in the bigger world that don't look at these things in the level of detail that a very small portion of people do, is that he is the greatest Wimbledon champion of all time, and as time continues to pass by, his titles will be remembered. Of course, IF Djokovic gets to 9, which he does seem to have an outside shot at.
 

duaneeo

Legend
except actual data points about actual matches gives lot of advantage in actual analysis of what happened : for example 16-22 being the weakest period in open era by far (even more so post-COVID)

I'll keep repeating that 90s-born players won zero slams during the entire decade of 2010-2019, and won just two (one by default) since 2020. That's the only data point needed to show men's tennis has been in the weakest period ever.
 

Garro

Rookie
Nadal faced a match point in Wimbledon 06, and was being outplayed by Youzhny in 07...then he injured his back and was never really in the match after that.

Sure, a lot of things could be different if we change circumstances, but if we're going to play the "what if" game it seems like we can better examples than this one.

What if he had lost early in 06 and 07? Doubtful he beats Fed in 08 and then goes on to in Wimby a second time after that.
 
Nadal plays a claycourt game on grass (everywhere, really) and once his physicality declined he was much more vulnerable in early rounds. Yes, there is a factor of sour grapes here but his game is antithetical to how grass court tennis should be played. Pounding endless loopy topspin shots from well behind the baseline; is this clay? Even in the 2008 final, arguably his best match on the surface, he played 8.5% of his points at the net, which is exactly his career number. It's a small miracle he's accomplished as much as he has on the surface.

Regarding Djokovic at the USO, of course he a fair share of the blame with some of the massive eggs he laid in the later stages of the tournament. But I'd say he's also been a little unfortunate here. 2021, he plays a tough 5 setter in the semis against Zverev while Medvedev breezes past FAA, so he has little left in the tank for the final. Similar story in 2013, tough 5 sets vs Wawrinka while Nadal gets Gasquet. Hurricane conditions against Murray in 2012. Freak disqualification in 2020 with a depleted field. Add high heat and humidity and you have a recipe for Djokovic's woes at the USO
It would be a small miracle in the 90s. After the homogenization of courts, it was par for the course that Nadal was going to do well on grass too with his amazing movement and baseline game, plus actually being good at the net when he needed to be. Nadal also used to return more aggressively on grass. Djokovic benefitted from the surfaces being slowed down so what should we call his 7 (jfc) Wimbledon titles?

Unfortunate is Federer just missing the line serving on MPs or, to a much bigger extent, Zverev injuring himself in the middle of the match. Djokovic not having the gas in the tank because in the semis he faced a tough opponent (btw, I don''t think the problem was physical in that final. Djokovic came out completely flat right from the beginning of the match and then actually picked up the pace a little in the 2nd), or him not handlling conditions better than his opponents is not unfortunate to the extent where you could say he karmically deserves to have more titles. 2020 is the one that was very unfortunate for him, yes. But again, he had his luck in 2011 so that sort of cancels out.
 
Remember when a few years back you predicted Novak wouldn’t reach 12 slams and someone recently found and bumped that thread? Lucky for you that thread was deleted

I’d focus on reciting obscure data points, that seems to be your thing
I remember when you looked at the stats of Wimbledon 2019 final and said that Djokovic played better overall. What's you thing? Being wrong?
 

abmk

Bionic Poster
You do know that if Djokovic gets 9 Wimbledon titles, the general consensus in the bigger world that don't look at these things in the level of detail that a very small portion of people do, is that he is the greatest Wimbledon champion of all time, and as time continues to pass by, his titles will be remembered. Of course, IF Djokovic gets to 9, which he does seem to have an outside shot at.

well, if they don't look at things in some detail, they are just casual fans. I'm not a casual fan. I give more attention to analysis/level.

while I did enjoy fed's tennis and winning in 17-early 18, never did I deny that it was a weak period, especially from 2nd half of 17 onwards.
2 generations of unimaginable weakness is an absolute travesty for tennis.

see what @duaneeo pointed out above:

90s-born players won zero slams during the entire decade of 2010-2019
 

RS

Bionic Poster
Federer fans have a valid point with the generations. That is actually backed by some numbers.

It's better than the Roddick and so on played better than or would beat the Fed's/Nadal's/Djokovic's etc etc etc or would beat them which is sometimes pushed a lot.
 

GabeT

G.O.A.T.
Federer fans have a valid point with the generations. That is actually backed by some numbers.

It's better than the Roddick and so on played better than or would beat the Fed's/Nadal's/Djokovic's etc etc etc or would beat them which is sometimes pushed a lot.
You mean the “no player from years X won a slam” argument ? If so, no, it doesn’t prove anything
 

abmk

Bionic Poster
It would be a small miracle in the 90s. After the homogenization of courts, it was par for the course that Nadal was going to do well on grass too with his amazing movement and baseline game, plus actually being good at the net when he needed to be. Nadal also used to return more aggressively on grass. Djokovic benefitted from the surfaces being slowed down so what should we call his 7 (jfc) Wimbledon titles?

I have that guy on ignore, but amusing to see he still says nadal played claycourt tennis on grass at his prime.
Nadal returned more aggressively on grass, hit more aggressively on grass off both wings, picked off slices like probably no one else from 07 onwards on grass.

nadal had just one winner less than fed in Wim 06 final (fed did have quite a few more errors forced)
nadal had significantly higher rate of winners vs baggy in Wim 06 semi than djoko did vs baggy in Wim 11 3R.
 

GabeT

G.O.A.T.
That's the level of your analytical skills, and you deride abmk for his? Talking about knowledge and whatnot. lol
Lol at you. If I claim I am a better player than you at tennis the way I would prove it is by beating you in the tennis court. If I lose to you me claiming that I was the better player because of “stats” would have everyone around us laughing
 

abmk

Bionic Poster
Federer fans have a valid point with the generations. That is actually backed by some numbers.

It's better than the Roddick and so on played better than or would beat the Fed's/Nadal's/Djokovic's etc etc etc or would beat them which is sometimes pushed a lot.

pushed a lot where? in the threads you make? ;)
 

abmk

Bionic Poster
Baggy Wim 07 pre final could take Wim 11 Djokovic pre final 5? :unsure:

pre semifinal? yes, its a possibility.
Wim 11 djoko played excellent in both semi vs Tsonga and final vs Nadal.
not sure why you would put pre-final and not pre semifinal
 
Lol at you. If I claim I am a better player than you at tennis the way I would prove it is by beating you in the tennis court. If I lose to you me claiming that I was the better player because of “stats” would have everyone around us laughing
"Stats" show the details of the match, the result doesn't do that. Tennis has an unique scoring system that makes some points more significant for the result than others. But when you talk about overall level, which would include play over all points in the match, Federer was the better player. You and the imaginary everyone can laugh all you want, I'm laughing right back at you. Everyone is having fun.
 

RS

Bionic Poster
"Stats" show the details of the match, the result doesn't do that. Tennis has an unique scoring system that makes some points more significant for the result than others. But when you talk about overall level, which would include play over all points in the match, Federer was the better player. You and the imaginary everyone can laugh all you want, I'm laughing right back at you. Everyone is having fun.
This might be the problem.
 

GabeT

G.O.A.T.
"Stats" show the details of the match, the result doesn't do that. Tennis has an unique scoring system that makes some points more significant for the result than others. But when you talk about overall level, which would include play over all points in the match, Federer was the better player. You and the imaginary everyone can laugh all you want, I'm laughing right back at you. Everyone is having fun.
The “better” player is the one who wins the match. Fed’s stats in that match reflect the great results of sets 2 and 4. But as Tsitsi pointed out you need to win 3 sets. And Fed had 3 TB opportunities and couldn’t win a single one. Better player? Don’t think so
 

RS

Bionic Poster
pre semifinal? yes, its a possibility.
Wim 11 djoko played excellent in both semi vs Tsonga and final vs Nadal.
not sure why you would put pre-final and not pre semifinal
Added SF for the sake of it because it's pre final but yeah I worded it a bit wrong.

A better question may have been Baggy 07 SF vs Djok 21 or something
 

abmk

Bionic Poster
Added SF for the sake of it because it's pre final but yeah I worded it a bit wrong.

A better question may have been Baggy 07 SF vs Djok 21 or something

It was 07 Wim QF baggy vs djoko, not semi. Semi was between Nadal and Djoko remember?
 
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