How many GS will Nadal add to his tally?
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kevaninho
Hall of Fame
Why are you comparing ? The title asked how many Nadal will win, not can he catch Federer
MugOpponent
Hall of Fame
It depends on several factors: Nadal's health over the next few years, how the rest of the field shapes up.
I think there are two and probably three French Opens to be won with good health, perhaps 4. I think he could still put together a run at Wimbledon but I don't see him winning it. Possibly one or two US Opens. Maybe one AO.
4 is my answer but as unpredictable as tennis can be, the real answer could be 1 or as many as 6.
I think there are two and probably three French Opens to be won with good health, perhaps 4. I think he could still put together a run at Wimbledon but I don't see him winning it. Possibly one or two US Opens. Maybe one AO.
4 is my answer but as unpredictable as tennis can be, the real answer could be 1 or as many as 6.
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Sudacafan
Bionic Poster
That’s gross
ChaelAZ
G.O.A.T.
I can see at least 3 more solid runs. At least in the next few years he will have solid chance for FO, so 2 there, and then I can see him winning another USO, so one there. I think the big one will be AO next year. I think that is his, given he manage his schedule/body well this season.
EloQuent
Legend
2.5 then?
Steve0904
Talk Tennis Guru
He'll bite his last RG trophy and split it in half.
EloQuent
Legend
always wondered how that works. That's like the actual trophy they keep year after year, right? So it has teeth marks on it?
Making any kinds of projections is an exercise in futility.
One can say for sure the chances of Nadal winning 4+ slams are minuscule based on his history. I believe the tour will get stronger after reaching a low point late last year. There won't be freebies available like the USO to pick anymore.
We don't know how the field holds on the clay courts. I would definitely like to see the next gen. stepping up the challenge and take down Rafa. It could happen anytime. Would it happen this year? Who knows. But penciling Nadal for additional 3 FOs is foolhardy. Even Nadal will be taken down and it will happen sooner than later.
One can say for sure the chances of Nadal winning 4+ slams are minuscule based on his history. I believe the tour will get stronger after reaching a low point late last year. There won't be freebies available like the USO to pick anymore.
We don't know how the field holds on the clay courts. I would definitely like to see the next gen. stepping up the challenge and take down Rafa. It could happen anytime. Would it happen this year? Who knows. But penciling Nadal for additional 3 FOs is foolhardy. Even Nadal will be taken down and it will happen sooner than later.
TheAverageFedererFan
Professional
I think he gets RG this year and next year. So he ends at 18 slams. And has added 2 to his tally.
MugOpponent
Hall of Fame
I think putting an expiration date on Nadal at Roland Garros is much more foolhardy than expecting him to continue winning. Gustavo Kuerten who knows a thing or two about the French Open believes Nadal can win five more French Opens. Personally I think that's a little strong but would it really be that surprising?
The rules about longevity are being rewritten. Being over 30 no longer condemns you in tennis and there is no guarantee that new talent will emerge and take it away.
VaporDude95
Banned
lol no. At the AO and Wimbledon, you can always count on him being hit off the court. He might get a fluke USO while not having to play a top 30 player, but 3 more GS at the most
smoledman
G.O.A.T.
Roger wins 2 more as well to end up at 22. Who could have thought back in 2005 where the slam tally would end up. Beyond even all of our wildest imaginations.
justasport
Professional
2018-none
2019- RG
2020- none/retirement
2019- RG
2020- none/retirement
Feather
Legend
I am very sure that Novak Djokovic will be back in the mix in menacing form. Novak will hurt both Roger and Rafa. The time when Novak was away, Rafa should have gained on Roger. Even though he won two last year, he made zero progress in the chase. Now the worst thing for the chase, Roger winning AO and a strong favourite at Wimbledon. I feel at the end, years like 2017 and 2018, if this year also Rafa could not win more majors than Roger, will harm the slam chase.
After US 2013, Roger was leading by four and after four and half years, it's the same.
Rafa the King
Hall of Fame
2-3 RG's and 1-2 non-RG's. Best case 5, I'll go with 4 if he manages to win RG this year where he is the big favourite. Already extremely satisfied and proud of Rafa but tbh this is the "improbable but non impossible" dream
-20 slams (12 RG's, 8 non-RG's)
-6 YE#1s
-Masters record
-Career Golden Masters (so miami and bercy)
-WTF
-20 slams (12 RG's, 8 non-RG's)
-6 YE#1s
-Masters record
-Career Golden Masters (so miami and bercy)
-WTF
THUNDERVOLLEY
G.O.A.T.
Certain tennis "fans" have been saying that for the past decade, along with "his knees!" / "Rafa's done!" and other posts of their deepest desire, but it has not happened.
...and when is that happening on clay? Thiem failed miserably (as expected). As for his companions on the ATP's Can't Win A Major Legion, including Isner, Nishikori, Kyrgios, Dimitrov, Simon, Pospisil, Tomic, Querry, et al., they are in the dump of not-getting-it-dome too. That's the so-called "next generation" boards like this one have hyped for years, and as of this date, they're all aging players with no chance of winning a major.
I've been optimistic and voted for 4 more slams. This is because I honestly can't see anyone in the next 2-3 French Opens beating a 100% physically fit Nadal. Yes a Djokovic resurrection still can't be ruled out but it was still a struggle to topple Nadal when he was dominating the game let alone now at this stage of his career. Fed as we all know has excluded the clay to preserve the psychological edge of his winning run against Rafa. The biggest threat of the Next Gen has just been crushed in three sets and has major issues with consistency in terms of both mindset and form. Who else is going to beat him at the French?
I would like to think he's due one last great run at Wimbeldon but I just can't see it, especially when he reverts back to his clay style habits on grass. He just can't handle the big servers anymore like he used to.
So I see one more US Open and maybe another Australiian has he has a good record there of reaching finals. Retaining the #1 ranking will of course help with getting a good draw.
To do this he'll definitely need to make changes to his game. We've seen this tournament an intent to end points quicker, utilizing the backhand a lot more. A stronger serve would but it's probably too late in the game to make changes to improve it.
I can definitely see the need to shorten the schedule. Probably skip the post US Open indoor season, play only IW and ignore Miami and maybe even just play 2 clay masters or one masters and Barcelona before going into the French.
If these changes are made then four more slams is definitely attainable.
I would like to think he's due one last great run at Wimbeldon but I just can't see it, especially when he reverts back to his clay style habits on grass. He just can't handle the big servers anymore like he used to.
So I see one more US Open and maybe another Australiian has he has a good record there of reaching finals. Retaining the #1 ranking will of course help with getting a good draw.
To do this he'll definitely need to make changes to his game. We've seen this tournament an intent to end points quicker, utilizing the backhand a lot more. A stronger serve would but it's probably too late in the game to make changes to improve it.
I can definitely see the need to shorten the schedule. Probably skip the post US Open indoor season, play only IW and ignore Miami and maybe even just play 2 clay masters or one masters and Barcelona before going into the French.
If these changes are made then four more slams is definitely attainable.
James_Bolt
Rookie
Nadal went through the worst stretch of tennis in his entire career.Will Nadal be able to win one last RG title in 2024?
* Injury:
- Going to FO2022, he had treatment for a chronic foot problem
- During Wimbledon2022, he withdraws from the tournament due to abdominal tear
- During AO2023, he suffered from hip injury
- The foot, the knee, the rib, the hip… He is really compromised physically and he is not getting any younger. He knows what it takes to compete at a high level.
Power and speed are important components of Nadal style of play. Power for his offense and speed for his relentless defense. He has lost power and speed due to injury and age. Things will not get better.
* Losses: Nadal lost 7 of his last 9 matches. When was the last time this happened? In 2003 (20 years ago) - despite all his injuries.
Out of the 7 losses, 6 players had their first win against him and 4 losses came from players ranked out of the top 20.
* Masters: In 2022, Nadal did not win a Masters 1000. When was the last time this happened? In 2004 (19 years ago) - despite all his injuries. (I am not counting 2020 as many Masters1000 were canceled due to Covid).
* Ranking: Despite all his injuries and the tournaments he missed, he managed to stay in the top 10 for 18 years (from 2005 to 2023). Now he is ranked outside the top 100.
* French Open: Despite all his injuries, Nadal never missed the French Open since his first participation in the tournament in 2005. So after 18 years.
Nadal went to 5 sets against FAA at the FO2022. He was 2 sets down to Medvedev at AO2022.
How many players not named Djokovic or Soderling took Nadal to 5 sets at the French Open? The match against Zverev was very tight, going to the second tiebreak before Zverev got injured. I am not saying that Zverev would have won the match but to show how the gap with the field got smaller and smaller.
* Future: He said that next year will probably be his last year on the professional tour. He also said that he would like to say goodbye to all the tournaments that have been important to him.
Nadal fans should really manage their expectations.
I am sure that, his plan will not be to win those tournaments but to say goodbye. A farewell tour.
The pool on TTW should be on which tournaments will be part of his farewell tour.
ADuck
Legend
The arrogance of 2018 fed fans
MichaelNadal
Bionic Poster
First page is a gem
weakera
Talk Tennis Guru
Good call bro
Djokovic_is_the_best#1
Bionic Poster
22 slams not to bad for bulldal.
Unfortunately Nadal proved me (more than) right. I predicted 20 slams for him. He got 2 more.
UnforcedTerror
Hall of Fame
tennis_error
Professional
No one can beat her in bad prediction, specially concerning arrogance and ignorance in posts...
NeutralFan
G.O.A.T.
Why making fun of her prediction? Anyone can have correct or incorrect prediction.
DSH
Talk Tennis Guru
What he accomplished in a decade in his 20s is about to be repeated in his 30s in half the time.
DSH
Talk Tennis Guru
TheNachoMan
Legend
Hopefully 0 now. Unless Novak wins the CYGS then I do not care.
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