ATP M1000 Monte Carlo 2024

Rattie · Apr 5, 2024

1. Novak Djokovic
2. Jannik Sinner
3. Carlos Alcaraz
4 Daniil Medvedev
5. Alexander Zverev
6. Andrey Rublev - defending Champion
7. Holder Rune
8. Casper Rune
9. Grigor Dimitrov
10. Hubert Hurkacz
11. Alex de Minaur
12. Stefanos Tsitsipas
13. Taylor Fritz
14. Ugo Humbert
15. Karen Khachanov
16. Alexander Bublik

The top 8 seeds receive a bye into R2.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2024_Monte-Carlo_Masters_–_Singles

Tommy Paul, Ben Shelton and Frances Tiafoe are skipping this event. Notably Rafa and Andy Murray are also missing through injury.

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1776173604557795613

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1776268271638962313

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1776269047765549089

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1776268046602047690

BeatlesFan · Apr 5, 2024

Live draw:

BeatlesFan · Apr 5, 2024

Sinner-Rune possible QF.

FernandoBiH · Apr 5, 2024

Easy draw for Alcaraz.

nolefam_2024 · Apr 5, 2024

Draw is pretty open.

BeatlesFan · Apr 5, 2024

FernandoBiH said:
Easy draw for Alcaraz.

Ruud may take him out and if Djoker survives, a semi awaits with him. Not that easy.

R1 - BYE
R2 - FAA
R3 - Humbert/Zhang
QF - Ruud/Hurkacz
SF - Djokovic/Rublev
F - Sinner/Medvedev/Zverev

nolefam_2024 · Apr 5, 2024

Djokovic is looking very good.

Rattie · Apr 5, 2024

BeatlesFan said:
Ruud may take him out and if Djoker survives, a semi awaits with him. Not that easy.

Carlos leads the H2H 4-0 so I’m banking on that not happening

Rattie · Apr 5, 2024

OP updated with the draw

socallefty · Apr 5, 2024

Djokovic has lost in the 2nd round or 3rd round in each of the last three years. Which of those rounds will it be this year?

Winners or Errors · Apr 5, 2024

Well, well, well. Looks like Sinner has a pretty fair draw. Looks like all the threats are on the other side. I guess that's what it means to be #2. Not that I think any draw is tough for Djokovic, but his draw is as tough as it can be in MC this year. We'll see what the old man has left in the tank.

dking68 · Apr 5, 2024

BeatlesFan said:
Sinner-Rune possible QF.

Be prepared for a loss

tennisfan223 · Apr 5, 2024

BeatlesFan said:
Sinner-Rune possible QF.

Not even a guarantee. He has to beat one of Ruusuvuori or Arnaldi, tricky opponents with enough weapons to take Rune out if he doesn't bring his A game. And after that, he has to face Dimitrov, who has been on FIRE recently and Rune has lost to in straights in Brisbane. Hopefully Mourataglou coaching will do some magic to his game, but I doubt its enough to take down Dimi let alone Sinner. Pretty bad draw for rune

EDIT: COMPLETELY FORGOT DIMI BEAT HIM IN BEIJING TOO. chances of Rune doing anything in this tournament are slim to none, unless a good win over Fritz in Indian Wells was indicator of anything.

clayqueen · Apr 5, 2024

The World #1 is titleless in 2024.

BeatlesFan · Apr 5, 2024

tennisfan223 said:
EDIT: COMPLETELY FORGOT DIMI BEAT HIM IN BEIJING TOO. chances of Rune doing anything in this tournament are slim to none, unless a good win over Fritz in Indian Wells was indicator of anything.

Oh, I agree with you completely. I don't expect Holger to defend his finalist points from last year unless the draw opens up or he suddenly rediscovers his form. He loves the clay though, so we'll see if that rejuvenates him.

neytron · Apr 5, 2024

Medvedev vs Zverev again, for the 8th time in just over a year. Zverev probably has post-traumatic stress, he only won 1 out of 7. Alcaraz vs Djokovic is also coming. It's also interesting to see what Sinner will show on clay. Last year he lost to Rune here, and also had a tough match with him at YEC.

Milanez82 · Apr 5, 2024

Where is Rafa

_phantom · Apr 5, 2024

Sinner will play doubles as well.

Sinner e Sonego, wild card per Montecarlo: giocheranno il doppio

Dopo Malaga e Indian Wells si riforma la coppia della Davis. Il fresco numero 2 al mondo e il numero 57 del ranking invitati con wild card, come Berrettini in singolare

www-gazzetta-it.translate.goog

Rovesciarete · Apr 5, 2024

Rublev defending a a lot of points and Rune too. Both scored highly in various metrics, Musetti also…

GloW · Apr 5, 2024

possible sinner v zverev really good match

GloW · Apr 5, 2024

the end is here, djokovic with 0 votes

ALCARAZWON · Apr 5, 2024

Alcaraz

and Nadal

to sweep the clay season

Rovesciarete · Apr 6, 2024

Strange draw. For Sinner it is bad good. Looks good higher up but boy Fokina or Korda in the first clay round of the year in slooow Monaco…

Moose Malloy · Apr 6, 2024

live stream of qualies on the Monte Carlo youtube channel. Pouille Nardi playing now

NaDjoFed · Apr 6, 2024

Nardi wins 6-4, 6-3. I know him because of that game vs Nole. This guy is now ranked 75. Does he have potential? He looks pretty good

Rovesciarete · Apr 6, 2024

Monte Carlo Elo Singles Forecast

Tennis Abstract puts Alcaraz, Djokovic and Sinner as almost evenly matched according to the mighty Elo algorithm...

Archived: R64 | Current
Probable matchups: R32 | R16 | QF | SF | F

Player	R16	QF	SF	F	W
(1)Novak Djokovic(SRB)	90.8%	75.5%	56.3%	33.7%	20.6%
(13)Taylor Fritz (USA)	42.2%	11.0%	5.1%	1.6%	0.5%
(6)Andrey Rublev (RUS)	76.5%	55.6%	23.6%	10.4%	4.6%
(3)Carlos Alcaraz (ESP)	86.7%	74.8%	56.2%	34.7%	21.6%
(14)Ugo Humbert (FRA)	56.5%	12.6%	5.2%	1.4%	0.4%
(10)Hubert Hurkacz(POL)	61.1%	25.1%	7.3%	2.2%	0.7%
(8)Casper Ruud (NOR)	84.6%	61.9%	25.4%	11.0%	4.7%

Player	R16	QF	SF	F	W
(5)Alexander Zverev(GER)	84.7%	51.9%	30.1%	14.6%	6.3%
(12)Stefanos Tsitsipas(GRE)	58.4%	31.8%	18.1%	8.6%	3.7%
(4)Daniil Medvedev(RUS)	86.2%	65.1%	36.5%	18.1%	8.1%
(7)Holger Rune (DEN)	68.1%	37.1%	14.1%	6.3%	2.2%
(WC)Matteo Berrettini(ITA)	30.0%	13.6%	4.1%	1.4%	0.4%
(9)Grigor Dimitrov(BUL)	62.4%	35.6%	14.0%	6.4%	2.3%
Sebastian Baez (ARG)	39.6%	10.9%	5.0%	1.9%	0.6%
(2)Jannik Sinner (ITA)	86.5%	71.5%	53.5%	36.1%	20.7%

Forecasts are based on tournament simulations, which employ surface-specific Elo player ratings...

GloW · Apr 6, 2024

ALCARAZWON said:
Alcaraz and Nadal to sweep the clay season

zverev to sweep the sweepers

Rattie · Apr 6, 2024

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1776580262853304630

They were in the Alcaraz and Sinner quarters.

shinminsoo86 · Apr 6, 2024

Milanez82 said:
Where is Rafa

DNP.

sortof · Apr 6, 2024

Thiem lost his qualifyer against RBA 1:6, 2:6. The score is a bit of a shocker really. If Thiem is still bothered by wrist issues he should do himself a favor by not playing competitive tennis until this is resolved.

Hitman · Apr 6, 2024

Rovesciarete said:
Monte Carlo Elo Singles Forecast

Tennis Abstract puts Alcaraz, Djokovic and Sinner as almost evenly matched according to the mighty Elo algorithm...

Archived: R64 | Current
Probable matchups: R32 | R16 | QF | SF | F

Player
R16
QF
SF
F
W
(1)Novak Djokovic(SRB)
90.8%
75.5%
56.3%
33.7%
20.6%
(13)Taylor Fritz (USA)
42.2%
11.0%
5.1%
1.6%
0.5%
(6)Andrey Rublev (RUS)
76.5%
55.6%
23.6%
10.4%
4.6%
(3)Carlos Alcaraz (ESP)
86.7%
74.8%
56.2%
34.7%
21.6%
(14)Ugo Humbert (FRA)
56.5%
12.6%
5.2%
1.4%
0.4%
(10)Hubert Hurkacz(POL)
61.1%
25.1%
7.3%
2.2%
0.7%
(8)Casper Ruud (NOR)
84.6%
61.9%
25.4%
11.0%
4.7%

Player
R16
QF
SF
F
W
(5)Alexander Zverev(GER)
84.7%
51.9%
30.1%
14.6%
6.3%
(12)Stefanos Tsitsipas(GRE)
58.4%
31.8%
18.1%
8.6%
3.7%
(4)Daniil Medvedev(RUS)
86.2%
65.1%
36.5%
18.1%
8.1%
(7)Holger Rune (DEN)
68.1%
37.1%
14.1%
6.3%
2.2%
(WC)Matteo Berrettini(ITA)
30.0%
13.6%
4.1%
1.4%
0.4%
(9)Grigor Dimitrov(BUL)
62.4%
35.6%
14.0%
6.4%
2.3%
Sebastian Baez (ARG)
39.6%
10.9%
5.0%
1.9%
0.6%
(2)Jannik Sinner (ITA)
86.5%
71.5%
53.5%
36.1%
20.7%

Forecasts are based on tournament simulations, which employ surface-specific Elo player ratings...

So Alcaraz fav, then Sinner, then Djokovic

DSH · Apr 6, 2024

BeatlesFan said:
Sinner-Rune possible QF.

On clay, Rune is the favorite against 'chicken legs'.

Vincent-C · Apr 6, 2024

Milanez82 said:
Where is Rafa

KSA

Rovesciarete · Apr 6, 2024

Hitman said:
So Alcaraz fav, then Sinner, then Djokovic

I would say Alcaraz than the other two. Huge gap to the rest of the field.

Rovesciarete · Apr 6, 2024

The Elo forecast uses cElo. Sinner seems to have the slightly harder draw than Alcaraz…

Rank	Player	Age	Elo	ClayRaw	cElo
3	Carlos Alcaraz	20.8	2162.7	2018.9	2090.8
1	Jannik Sinner	22.5	2263.2	1913.5	2088.4
2	Novak Djokovic	36.7	2202.9	1960.2	2081.5
4	Daniil Medvedev	28.0	2135.5	1850.0	1992.7
6	Alexander Zverev	26.9	2049.5	1917.9	1983.7
13	Stefanos Tsitsipas	25.5	1949.0	2005.2	1977.1
8	Andrey Rublev	26.4	2001.0	1918.9	1959.9
12	Casper Ruud	25.2	1956.6	1940.6	1948.6
5	Grigor Dimitrov	32.8	2056.3	1802.7	1929.5
15	Holger Rune	20.8	1939.5	1897.3	1918.4
27	Sebastian Baez	23.2	1857.9	1877.1	1867.5
11	Taylor Fritz	26.3	1956.6	1757.6	1857.1
19	Matteo Berrettini	27.9	1890.1	1801.9	1846.0
10	Hubert Hurkacz	27.0	1968.1	1717.5	1842.8
35	Cameron Norrie	28.5	1836.0	1822.3	1829.2
28	Matteo Arnaldi	23.0	1854.8	1784.3	1819.5
9	Ugo Humbert	25.7	1982.0	1656.7	1819.4
29	Nicolas Jarry	28.4	1850.5	1786.2	1818.3

Fabresque · Apr 6, 2024

I just saw the Thiem-Bautista result.

Has it really come to this for Dominic? Is it really this bad.

tudwell · Apr 6, 2024

Rovesciarete said:
Strange draw. For Sinner it is bad good. Looks good higher up but boy Fokina or Korda in the first clay round of the year in slooow Monaco…

Yeah, he’ll want to be sharp for that opener. Both of those guys can really feel the ball well on their day, take it early, change direction, etc. Of course either one of them could just as easily hit 50 unforced errors, so we’ll see lol.

Rune or Dimitrov in the quarters – both have variety to throw Sinner out of his rhythm, potentially. If he plays as well as he has been of late, though, there’s really no one to stop him being in the final.

dking68 · Apr 6, 2024

tudwell said:
Yeah, he’ll want to be sharp for that opener. Both of those guys can really feel the ball well on their day, take it early, change direction, etc. Of course either one of them could just as easily hit 50 unforced errors, so we’ll see lol.

Rune or Dimitrov in the quarters – both have variety to throw Sinner out of his rhythm, potentially. If he plays as well as he has been of late, though, there’s really no one to stop him being in the final.

He’s got a whole crowd behind him. Italians tend to support Monte Carlo really well. If he goes all the way, I’m backing him for the title

Vincent-C · Apr 6, 2024

Fabresque said:
I just saw the Thiem-Bautista result.

Has it really come to this for Dominic? Is it really this bad.

It is sad to see. At least he snagged a Major- and over Zedrot, too.
Still rooting for you, Thiem.

Vincent-C · Apr 6, 2024

dking68 said:
He’s got a whole crowd behind him. Italians tend to support Monte Carlo really well. If he goes all the way, I’m backing him for the title

Sinner will get one of these on the clay swing, at least. It's not impossible that he gets the big one.

robyrolfo · Apr 6, 2024

Rovesciarete said:
Rublev defending a a lot of points and Rune too. Both scored highly in various metrics, Musetti also…

Wow, Musetti among the best in almost all of those metrics... and yet the guy's record this season has been pretty bad. So strange...

Vincent-C · Apr 6, 2024

robyrolfo said:
Wow, Musetti among the best in almost all of those metrics... and yet the guy's record this season has been pretty bad. So strange...

I think Musetti will catch fire at some point, though maybe for not that long. He has a lovely game to watch.

ALCARAZWON · Apr 6, 2024

Milanez82 said:
Where is Rafa

He starts at Barcelona, because Monte Carlo is scheduled too close to Barcelona, and not a good idea to play both when you haven't played for so long.

Genie Of the Bank · Apr 6, 2024

Rain in Tuesday, Wednesday, colder weather/ lower bounce for the whole week.

https://weather.com/weather/tenday/...3bc2cca6204eed334084dee5c4e42351ec764b0fa4273

Genie Of the Bank · Apr 7, 2024

Wishing for Novak to win 3x Golden masters, but on form I will go with Sinner as a safe bet.

Rattie · Apr 7, 2024

Carlos Alcaraz arrives with discomfort in the area of his right forearm to the M1000 in Monte Carlo. Already on his first day of training in Monaco, he had to end the session early as a precaution.

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1776932629025005703

Hitman · Apr 7, 2024

Rattie said:
Carlos Alcaraz arrives with discomfort in the area of his right forearm to the M1000 in Monte Carlo. Already on his first day of training in Monaco, he had to end the session early as a precaution.

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1776932629025005703

Oh no....

dking68 · Apr 7, 2024

Rattie said:
Carlos Alcaraz arrives with discomfort in the area of his right forearm to the M1000 in Monte Carlo. Already on his first day of training in Monaco, he had to end the session early as a precaution.

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1776932629025005703

Title #4 for Sinner this season, easily @NeutralFan @TheGoldenEra1990’s

ALCARAZWON · Apr 7, 2024

LOL@Sinner
He's got ONE title on clay.

Sudacafan · Apr 7, 2024

Bublik hates clay so much, and it shows.

ATP M1000 Monte Carlo 2024

Who wins?

Novak Djokovic

Jannik Sinner

Carlos Alcaraz

Daniil Medvedev

Andrey Rublev

Alexander Zverev

Holder Rune

Grigor Dimitrov

Hubie Hurkacz

Other (Ruud, et al)

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